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The Science of Foresight: How to Succeed in Strategic Forecasting and Planning

  • ECONOMIC POLICY
  • Published:
Studies on Russian Economic Development Aims and scope

Abstract—

The article proposes a conceptual approach to the formation of a scientific and methodological complex that ensures the implementation of state policy in the field of strategic planning. The place of the complex in the system of strategic planning and its structure are determined. The conditions and factors for increasing its effectiveness are investigated. An analysis of the provisions of the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation, On the Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation, dated November 8, 2021, no. 633 is made. Its role in a new stage in the development of strategic planning in Russia as a targeted and long-term state policy necessary in the conditions of rapidly changing global economic and geopolitical trends is analyzed. Attention is focused on the necessity and importance of risk analysis in the system of strategic forecasting and planning. A model of knowledge mapping in the process of organizing work on the scientific and methodological support of strategic planning is given.

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Notes

  1. Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation. Decree of the President of the Russian Federation dated November 8, 2021 (hereinafter referred to as Decree.) no. 633.Ch. I. P. 3. http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/47244/page/1.

  2. Decree, Ch. II. P. 9. Subitem a.

  3. Decree, Section IV. P. 42. Subitem a.

  4. Decree, Section IV. P. 42. Subitem з.

  5. GOST R 56273.2-2016/CEN/TS 16555-2:2014: Innovation Management. Part 2. Strategic Intelligence Management, section 4, subsection 4.1.

  6. GOST R 56273.1-2014/CEN/TS 16555-1:2013: Innovation Management. Part 1. Innovation Management System, section 6.

  7. Decree. Section IV. P. 45.

  8. GOST R 56273.2-2016/CEN/TS 16555-2:2014: Innovation Management. Part 2. Strategic Intelligence Management, section 5, subsection 5.7.

  9. GOST R 56273.2-2016/CEN/TS 16555-2:2014: Innovation Management. Part 2. Strategic Intelligence Management, section 4, subsection 4.2, p. 4.4.2.

  10. For example, they can be found on the website: https://www.satscan.org.

  11. WEF Strategic Intelligence. https://intelligence.weforum.org/.

  12. GOST R 56273.3-2016/CEN/TS 16555-3:2014: Innovation Management. Part 3. Innovative Thinking.

  13. GOST R 56273.5-2016/CEN/TS 16555-5:2014: Innovation Management. Part 5. Collaboration Management.

  14. GOST R 56273.6-2016/CEN/TS 16555-6:2014: Innovation Management. Part 6. Creativity Management.

  15. GOST R 56273.7-2016/CEN/TS 16555-7:2015: Innovation Management. Part 7. Innovation Management Assessment.

  16. How to Gameplan Your Office days: An Overachiever’s Guide to Hybrid Work. The Wall Street Journal, August 23, 2021. https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-to-gameplan-your-office-days-an-overachievers-guide-to-hybrid-work-11629711000.

  17. The Relationship Between Engagement at Work and Organizational Outcomes 2020. Gallup, October 2020. https://www.gallup.com/workplace/321725/gallup-q12-meta-analysis-report.aspx.

  18. 11 companies with the best internal communication today. Blink. https://joinblink.com/intelligence/internal-communication-examples/.

  19. SnapComms. case study. https://www.snapcomms.com/case-studies/internal-communication-case-studies#.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, 119997, Moscow, Russia

    A. A. Dynkin

  2. Moscow State Institute of International Relations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Russian Federation, 119454, Moscow, Russia

    V. D. Milovidov

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  1. A. A. Dynkin
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  2. V. D. Milovidov
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Correspondence to V. D. Milovidov.

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Dynkin, A.A., Milovidov, V.D. The Science of Foresight: How to Succeed in Strategic Forecasting and Planning. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 34, 285–296 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723030048

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