Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Planning for Adaptation to Climate Change: World Experience and Opportunities for Sustainable Social and Economic Development in Russia

  • FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
  • Published:
Studies on Russian Economic Development Aims and scope

Abstract—

The article considers the world experience in establishing institutions and scientific and methodological approaches to planning of the communities and economy adaptation to climate change and organization of the planning of the process above. An analysis of the criteria for assessing the quality of adaptation plans and the generalized assessment of national adaptation plans developed in over 30 foreign countries is presented, and their features and typical problems are identified. The state of adaptation planning process in Russia is briefly contemplated. The major role and contribution of planning and implementation of adaptation measures in shaping the strategy of sustainable socioeconomic development of Russia is substantiated.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. B. N. Porfiriev, “Decarbonization vs. adaptation of the economy to climate change within the sustainable development strategy,” Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 33, 385–391 (2022).

  2. The authors of the work themselves call them “principles of planning,” which, from our viewpoint, is at least debatable.

  3. A total of 34 NPAs, including (in addition to the already mentioned Canada, France and Japan) developing countries: Albania, Armenia, Brazil, Burkina Faso, East Timor, Guatemala, India, Cameroon, Cambodia, Kenya, Colombia, Costa Rica, Kuwait, Liberia, Palestine, Paraguay, Peru, Sudan, Suriname, Tongo, Uruguay, Chad, Chile, Sri Lanka, Ethiopia, South Africa, as well as small island states (Grenadu Carriacou and Lesser Martinique, Kiribati, Fiji, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, St. Lucia).

  4. Some NPAs that do not provide integral monetary estimates include point estimates, for example, of individual natural disasters or for individual years.

  5. Decree of the President of the Russian Federation no. 474 as of July 14, 2020, On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030. http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/63728.

  6. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 14, 2021, no. 1912-r On Approval of the Goals and Main Directions of Sustainable (including Green) Development of the Russian Federation. http://static.government.ru/media/files/sMdcuCaAX4O5j3Vy3b1GQwCKfa9lszW6.pdf.

  7. According to the same document, priority goals include: conservation, protection or improvement of the environment; reducing emissions and discharges of pollutants and (or) preventing their impact on the environment; reducing greenhouse gas emissions; energy saving and high efficiency of using resources. Obviously, in this case, the goals are limited to the effects of positive environmental impact and reduction of anthropogenic influence on climate, leaving aside the effects on sustainable development from the implementation of a set of measures for adapting populations and economic facilities to climate change (including reducing vulnerability to climate risks and using favorable opportunities associated with the consequences of climate change in several regions of the country).

REFERENCES

  1. IPCC, Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Con-tribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the In-tergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ed. by J. J. McCarthy, O. F. Canziani, N. A. Leary, (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2001).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Climate Change: The 1990 and 1992 IPCC Assessments. IPCC First Assessment Report Overview and Policymaker Summaries and 1992 IPSC Supplement June 1992 (WHO, Geneva, 1992).

  3. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (United Nations, New York, 1992). https://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/background_publications_htmlpdf/application/pdf/conveng.pdf.

  4. Climate Change and the Russian Economy: Trends, Scenarios, Forecasts: Monograph, Ed. by B. N. Porfir’ev and V. I. Danilov-Danil’yan (Nauchn. Konsul’t., Moscow, 2022) [in Russian].

  5. W. N. Adger, S. Huq, K. Brown, D. Conway, M. Hulme, “Adaptation To climate change in the developing world,” Prog. Dev. Stud. 3, 179–195 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1191/1464993403ps060oa

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. K. Hardee and C. Mutunga, “Strengthening the link between climate change adaptation and national development plans: Lessons from the case of population in national adaptation programmes of action (NAPAs),” Mitigation Adapt. Strategies Global Change 15, 113–126 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-009-9208-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. LDC Expert Group, The national adaptation plan process: A brief overview, in United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (Bonn, 2012).

  8. ISO 14090:2019. Adaptation to Climate Change—Principles, Requirements and Guidelines.

  9. M. Mullan, A. M. Kramer, S. Agrawala, and N. Kingsmill, National Adaptation Planning, OECD Environment Working Papers, No. 54. https://doi.org/10.1787/5k483jpfpsq1-en

  10. International experience in climate change adaptation management. Information and analytical note. https://www.infoeco.ru/index.php?id=8764. Cited October 20, 2022.

  11. S. C. Woodruff and P. Regan, “Quality of national adaptation plans and opportunities for improvement,” Mitigation Adapt. Strategies Global Change 24, 53–71 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. IPCC, Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the In-tergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ed. by H.-O. Pörtner, D. C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E. S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, and B. Rama (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2022).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Y. P. Cai, G. H. Huang, Q. Tan, and Z. F. Yang, “An integrated approach for climate-change impact analysis and adaptation planning under multi-level uncertainties, Part I: Methodology”, Renewable Sustainable Energy Rev. 15, 2779–2790 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. M. Green and E. K. Weatherhead, “Coping with climate change uncertainty for adaptation planning: An improved criterion for decision making under uncertainty using UKCP09,” Clim. Risk Manage. 1, 63–75 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. M. Zandvoorta, I. S. Campos, A. Vizinho, G. Penha-Lopes, E. K. Lorencová, R. van der Brugge, M. J. van der Vlist, A. Brink, and A. B. M. Jeuken, “Adaptation pathways in planning for uncertain climate change: Applications in Portugal, the Czech Republic and the Netherlands,” Environ. Sci. Policy 78, 18–26 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. UNEP Adaptation Gap Report 2021. The Gathering Storm: Adapting to Climate Change in Post-Pandemic World (United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, 2021), pp. 46–47.

  17. S. C. Woodruff and M. Stults, “Numerous strategies but limited implementation guidance in US local adaptation plans,” Nat. Clim. Change 6, 796–802 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3012

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. V. M. Kattsov and B. N. Porfir’ev, “Adaptation of Russia to climate change: The concept of the national plan,” Tr. Gl. Geofiz. Obs. im. A.I. Voeikova, No. 586, 7–20 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  19. National action plan for the first stage of adaptation to climate change for the period up to 2022. Approved by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation no. 3 of December 25, 2019.

  20. GOST (State Standard) R ISO 14090-2019: Adaptation to Climate Change. Principles, Requirements and Guidelines.”

  21. Guidelines and indicators on adaptation to climate change. Approved by Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation no. 267 of May 13, 2021.

Download references

Funding

The article was supported by the Russian Science Foundation project no. 22-28-01075. https://rscf.ru/project/22-28-01075/.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117418, Moscow, Russia

    B. N. Porfiriev, N. E. Terent’ev & Yu. V. Zinchenko

Authors
  1. B. N. Porfiriev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. N. E. Terent’ev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Yu. V. Zinchenko
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to B. N. Porfiriev.

Ethics declarations

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

Additional information

Translated by I. Pertsovskaya

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Porfiriev, B.N., Terent’ev, N.E. & Zinchenko, Y.V. Planning for Adaptation to Climate Change: World Experience and Opportunities for Sustainable Social and Economic Development in Russia. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 34, 263–273 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723020119

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723020119

Keywords:

Search

Navigation