Abstract—
The paper examines the impact of innovations on the socioeconomic development of the oil and gas regions of Russia. It applies a cross-methodical approach, including cluster analysis, panel data analysis and cognitive modeling. Each method performs its function in the research process: cluster analysis—multifactorial systematics of regions, analysis of panel data—obtaining quantitative estimates of the impact of resource and innovation factors on GRP, and cognitive modeling—building scenario forecasts for the socioeconomic development of an oil and gas region. As a result, the features of the interaction between the oil and gas sector and the sphere of innovation activity were revealed, and the nature of their influence on the growth of the economy of the regions of the Russian Federation was determined.
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The source of data for the clustering parameters is the issues of the statistical collection “Regions of Russia. Socioeconomic Indicators” published by the Federal State Statistics Service. https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/13204.
The source of data for the cognitive model is the issues of the statistical collection “Regions of Russia. Socioeconomic Indicators” published by the Federal State Statistics Service. https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/13204. Statistical Yearbook of the Tomsk oblast for 2012–2018. https://tmsk.gks.ru/folder/37342; report on the tax base and the structure of accruals for MET (Form no. 5—MET) for 2008–2018 for the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, which is published by the Federal Tax Service. https://www.nalog.ru/rn89/rdlated_activities/statistics_and_-analytics/forms/#t1.
Official Internet portal of the Administration of the Tomsk oblast. Strategy for Socioeconomic Development of the Tomsk Oblast until 2030. https://tomsk.gov.ru/ctrategija-sotsialno-ekonomicheskogo-razvitija-tomskoj-oblasti-do-2030-goda.
Forecast of the Socioeconomic Development of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2036, 2018.
State report on the state and use of mineral resources of the Russian Federation in 2020/Ed by E.I. Petrov, D.D. Tetenkin. Ministry of Natural Resources and Ecology of the Russian Federation. Federal Agency for Subsoil Use (Rosnedra). Moscow, 2021, pp. 22, 42, 51, 66. https://www.rosnedra.gov.ru/article/13931.html.
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Funding
The research was carried out with the plan of research work of the Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, project no. 5.6.3.2 (0260-2021-0004) “Resource-rich territories of Russia’s East and Arctic zones: Peculiar processes of interaction and interconnection between regional economies under contemporary conditions of scientific-technological and social challenges.”
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Translated by L. Solovyova
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Lebedeva, M.E. A Study of the Development of Innovative Activities in Oil and Gas Regions Using a Cross-Methodological Approach. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 34, 231–242 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723020077
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723020077