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Migration in Russia and Regional Socioeconomic Development: Cross-Impact Analysis

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Abstract—

The article presents an empirical study of the cross-impact of socioeconomic development in Russian regions and migration in Russia. The employed data include state statistics, sample surveys, and administrative statistics for 2017. It is shown that none of the migration types (long-term international and domestic, international and domestic labor migration) has a statistically significant effect on the indicators of socioeconomic development in Russian regions. At the same time, labor migration, both international and domestic, is most dependent on the integrated development of regions, in contrast to long-term types of migration.

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Notes

  1. The study was carried out as part of the research work of the state assignment of the RANEPA.

  2. Household Budget Survey.

  3. Labor Force Survey.

  4. GRP per capita, investment in fixed assets per capita, retail turnover per capita, per capita cash income, average monthly wage.

  5. The qualitative assessment of the strength of the relationship was determined on the Chaddock scale: the correlation coefficient from 0 to 0.3 the relationship is very weak, from 0.3 to 0.5 weak, from 0.5 to 0.7 average, from 0.7 to 0.9 high, from 0.9 to 1 very high.

  6. Detailed regression analysis results are available from the authors on request.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russia

    M. A. Kartseva, N. V. Mkrtchyan & Yu. F. Florinskaya

Authors
  1. M. A. Kartseva
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  2. N. V. Mkrtchyan
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  3. Yu. F. Florinskaya
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Correspondence to Yu. F. Florinskaya.

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Translated by I. Pertsovskaya

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Kartseva, M.A., Mkrtchyan, N.V. & Florinskaya, Y.F. Migration in Russia and Regional Socioeconomic Development: Cross-Impact Analysis. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 31, 421–429 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700720040085

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