Skip to main content
Log in

Retrospective Analysis of the Orbits of Asteroids Colliding with Earth

  • ASTRONOMY
  • Published:
Vestnik St. Petersburg University, Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the trajectories of real and model asteroids that lead to collisions with Earth. They highlight the close approaches to Earth that precede impact. The presence of such approaches allows us to detect a dangerous object in advance, clarify its orbit, and use the effect of a gravitational maneuver to economically prevent an asteroid from hitting Earth. In the paper we consider various families of collision trajectories: possible trajectories of real dangerous asteroids, as well as model trajectories that are not linked to a specific object. It is shown that in the first case, the approaches preceding the collision are noticeably greater.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. A. V. El’kin and L. L. Sokolov, “On successive passes of near-Earth asteroids in the vicinity of the Earth,” in Asteroid Hazard-95: Proc. Int. Conf., St. Petersburg, Russia, May 23–25, 1995 (Inst. Teor. Astron., St. Petersburg, 1995), Vol. 2, p. 41.

  2. L. Sokolov, G. Kuteeva, N. Petrov, and B. Eskin, “Hazardous near-Earth asteroids approach,” AIP Conf. Proc. 2171, 13019 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5133286

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Orbital Parameters of the Planets. http://www.sai.msu.ru/neb/rw/natsat/plaorbw.htm. Accessed May 27, 2021.

  4. Physical Data of the Planets. http://www.sai.msu.ru/neb/rw/natsat/plaphyw.htm. Accessed May 27, 2021.

  5. K. V. Kholshevnikov and V. A. Shor, “Velocity distribution of meteoroids in the vicinity of planets and satellites,” Earth, Moon, Planets 72, 419–423 (1996).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. I. A. Balyaev, “Acceleration of numerical integration of the equations of motion of asteroids,” Sol. Syst. Res. 54, 557–566 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0038094620330011

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. M. E. Loucks, J. P. Carrico, E. T. Lu, and C. R. Chapman, “Asteroid deflection requirements as a function of warning time,” in Proc. Asteroids, Comets, Meteors 2017, Montevideo, Uruguay, Apr. 10–14, 2017 (2017).

Download references

Funding

This study was supported by Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project no. 19-32-90149) and using the equipment of the resource center of the St. Petersburg State University Science Park Computing Center.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to K. S. Kholshevnikov, I. A. Balyaev, L. L. Sokolov or B. B. Eskin.

Additional information

Translated by E. Seifina

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kholshevnikov, K.S., Balyaev, I.A., Sokolov, L.L. et al. Retrospective Analysis of the Orbits of Asteroids Colliding with Earth. Vestnik St.Petersb. Univ.Math. 54, 282–288 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1063454121030031

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1063454121030031

Keywords:

Navigation