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Impact of Changing Wind Loads on the Reliability of Power Transmission Lines in Different Regions of Russia

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Abstract

The basic causes of technological failures in the US, EU, and Russian power grids are analyzed. It is shown that wind loads are of key importance for grid failures across all the climatic impacts. Observations of Russian meteorological stations are used for calculating the probabilistic characteristics of wind speed across different Russian regions. Regional power-grid-operator data on technological failures are used for proposing the probabilistic model of the failure-free operation of power grids as a wind-speed function. The climate projections make it possible to show that likely changes in the wind conditions across Russia in the next several decades are capable of affecting the power-supply reliability in several regions of the country. In particular, the increase in the frequency of power-grid failures could be up to 25% in the northwestern part of European Russia and up to 50% in the Russian Far East.

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Notes

  1. Main electrical networks (PJSC FGC UES).

  2. Distribution electric networks (MRGC and other DSC).

  3. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity Network reliability (major events).

  4. North American Electric Reliability Corporation. Annual reports of the National electricity emergency response capabilities.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors thank the CopernicusClimateDataStore team and the working groups of the CMIP6 experiment for providing access to climate modeling data.

Funding

This work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (project no. 21-79-30013) in terms of climate calculations and analysis of the operation of power systems, as well as by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project no. 20-08-00320) in terms of developing an approach to characterizing extreme values.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Research University, Moscow Power Engineering Institute, 111250, Moscow, Russia

    V. V. Klimenko, O. E. Kondratieva, O. A. Loktionov & E. V. Fedotova

  2. Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117186, Moscow, Russia

    V. V. Klimenko, O. E. Kondratieva, O. A. Loktionov & E. V. Fedotova

Authors
  1. V. V. Klimenko
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  2. O. E. Kondratieva
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  3. O. A. Loktionov
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  4. E. V. Fedotova
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Corresponding authors

Correspondence to V. V. Klimenko or E. V. Fedotova.

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Translated by V. Bukhanov

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Klimenko, V.V., Kondratieva, O.E., Loktionov, O.A. et al. Impact of Changing Wind Loads on the Reliability of Power Transmission Lines in Different Regions of Russia. Dokl. Phys. 67, 173–179 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028335822060064

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028335822060064

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