Skip to main content

Seasonal regularities of the observed warming in Siberia

Abstract

This paper discusses the results of a comparative analysis of a multiyear time series for average seasonal and annual surface temperatures in Siberia. To analyze seasonal temperature fluctuations, we use the data on average seasonal temperatures which excludes the influence of higher-frequency (cyclonic and daily) fluctuations. We have obtained an empirical correlation between the seasonal fluctuations and average seasonal surface temperatures for two climatic zones (Irkutsk and Tobol’sk). For both zones, the seasonal fluctuations amplitude is, with a high determination coefficient (over 0.9), in linear correlation with the average seasonal winter temperature. We point out that it is promising to model and forecast the observed climatic change on the basis of empirical regularities.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

References

  1. M. V. Kabanov and V. N. Lykosov, “Monitoring and Modeling of Nature-Climate Changes in Siberia,” Opt. Atmos. Okeana 19(9), 753–764 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  2. G. V. Gruza and E. Ya. Ran’kova, “Observed Recent Climate Variations,” in Possibilities of Predicting Climate Changes and Their Negative Consequences. Kyoto Protocol Problem, Ed. by Yu. A. Izrael (Nauka, Moscow, 2006) [in Russian], p. 60.

    Google Scholar 

  3. M. V. Kabanov, “Regional Aspects of Up-To-Date Climatology Based on an Analysis of the Observed Nature-Climate Variations in Siberia,” Opt. Atmos. Okeana 19(11), 927–933 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  4. I. I. Ippolitov, M. V. Kabanov, and S. V. Loginov, “Spatial and Time Scales of the Observed Warming in Siberia,” Dokl. Akad. Nauk 412(6), 814–817 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  5. I. I. Ippolitov, M. V. Kabanov, A. I. Komarov, and A. I. Kuskov, “Recent Nature-Climate Variations in Siberia: Variations in the Average Annual Surface Temperatures and Pressure,” Geogr. Prir. Res., No. 3, 90–96 (2004).

  6. S. M. Semenov and E. S. Gel’ver, “Annual Variations in the Daily Average Air Temperature in Russia in the 20th Century,” Dokl. Akad. Nauk 386(3), 389–394 (2002).

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Yu. A. Izrael, S. M. Semenov, O. A. Anisimov, et al., “The Fourth Evaluating Report of the Intergovernmental Group of Experts on Climate Change: Contribution of Working Group II,” Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 9, 5–12 (2007).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

Original Russian Text © M.V. Kabanov, 2009, published in Optika Atmosfery i Okeana.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Kabanov, M.V. Seasonal regularities of the observed warming in Siberia. Atmos Ocean Opt 22, 108–112 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1024856009010151

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1024856009010151

Keywords

  • Average Annual Temperature
  • North Atlantic Oscillation
  • Oceanic Optic
  • Seasonal Temperature
  • Wavelet Spectrum