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Forecast of Water Consumption in the Russian Part of the Don Basin

  • WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT: ECONOMIC AND LEGAL ASPECTS
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Abstract

Methodological approaches to water consumption forecasts are described. Demographic forecast and forecasts of the coefficient of water demand for regions in the Don basin are used to forecast domestic water demand. Summary data on the extension of irrigated lands over 2008–2018 in 15 constituent entities of the Russian Federation in the Don basin are given. The actual and forecasted areas of irrigated lands for 2025 and 2030 are presented. Differently directed changes in water consumption volumes are forecasted for three economy sectors: a decrease in the housing and utilities infrastructure, a minor increase in the industry, and a considerable growth in the agriculture. By the authors’ estimates for the basin as a whole, the total volume of water consumption will slightly increase by 2030.

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Funding

This study was funded by the state budget, subject 0147-2019-0003 of the Governmental Order to Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, state registration АААА-А18-118022090105-5.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, 109333, Moscow, Russia

    A. P. Demin & A. V. Zaitseva

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  1. A. P. Demin
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  2. A. V. Zaitseva
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Correspondence to A. P. Demin.

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Translated by G.Krichevets

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Demin, A.P., Zaitseva, A.V. Forecast of Water Consumption in the Russian Part of the Don Basin. Water Resour 48, 813–822 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807821050080

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807821050080

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