Abstract
The response of local forest ecosystems to changes in summer soil moisture content in the context of possible climate changes. A procedure for local hydrological forecasting is presented. Calculations based on prediction climate models GISS and HadCM3 for forest ecosystems on zonal ecotones between forest and steppe showed a progressive development in the XXI century of a thermoarid trend with pronounced soil drying during the vegetation period, which should result in decay of broad-leaved and mixed forests and their replacement by small-leaved-pine and oak-grove forest-steppe.
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Original Russian Text © E.G. Kolomyts, N.A. Surova, 2010, published in Vodnye Resursy, 2010, Vol. 37, No. 1, pp. 92–104.
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Kolomyts, E.G., Surova, N.A. Predicting the impact of global warming on soil water resources in marginal forests of the Middle Volga Region. Water Resour 37, 89–101 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807810010094
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807810010094