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Estimation of potential changes in the ecosystem of Lake Ladoga in the 21st century under the impact of anthropogenic and climatic factors

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Abstract

The effect of potential climate changes on the ecosystem of Lake Ladoga at different levels of anthropogenic load is studied using mathematical models. The Lake Ladoga year-round circulation corresponding to potential climate changes in the lake catchment area is reproduced. The year-round regime of functioning of the lake ecosystem is reproduced using ecosystem models. The potential changes in the lake ecosystem due to changes in the phosphorus load within the limits observed in 1961–1983 are found to be more essential than those due to prognostic changes in climate.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. St. Petersburg Economical—Mathematical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Chaikovskogo 1, St. Petersburg, 191187, Russia

    L. A. Rukhovets, G. P. Astrakhantsev, T. R. Minina & V. N. Poloskov

  2. Institute of Limnology, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Sevast’yanova 9, St. Petersbutg, 196199, Russia

    N. A. Petrova

Authors
  1. L. A. Rukhovets
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  2. G. P. Astrakhantsev
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  3. T. R. Minina
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  4. N. A. Petrova
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  5. V. N. Poloskov
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Additional information

Original Russian Text © L.A. Rukhovets, G.P. Astrakhantsev, T.R. Minina, N.A. Petrova, V.N. Poloskov, 2006, published in Vodnye Resursy, 2006, Vol. 33, No. 3, pp. 367–382.

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Rukhovets, L.A., Astrakhantsev, G.P., Minina, T.R. et al. Estimation of potential changes in the ecosystem of Lake Ladoga in the 21st century under the impact of anthropogenic and climatic factors. Water Resour 33, 338–352 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807806030122

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807806030122

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