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Statistical analysis of ice cover state parameters in the Sea of Japan and mathematical modeling of its evolution

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Abstract

Data of a sample from long-term observations (made with an interval of ten days) of ice cover state parameters in the Sea of Japan are analyzed. The results of analysis are used to formulate a model describing the evolution of ice floe distribution in terms of area and thickness. The obtained model is used to construct a model describing the evolution of ice thickness. Particular cases are studied analytically. A method for parametric identification of the model is considered and its adequacy is assessed against observed distributions. The model can be used to predict the state of the ice cover in the Sea of Japan.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Far-Eastern Geological Institute, Far-Eastern Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, prosp. Stoletiya Vladivostoka 159, Vladivostok, 690022, Russia

    A. N. Chetyrbotskii

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  1. A. N. Chetyrbotskii
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Original Russian Text © A.N. Chetyrbotskii, 2006, published in Vodnye Resursy, 2006, Vol. 33, No. 3, pp. 289–299.

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Chetyrbotskii, A.N. Statistical analysis of ice cover state parameters in the Sea of Japan and mathematical modeling of its evolution. Water Resour 33, 264–273 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807806030043

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807806030043

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