Abstract
We consider a critical branching process \(\{Y_n,\,n\geq0\}\) in an i.i.d. random environment in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. Let \(\mathcal A_i(n)\) be the event that all individuals alive at time \(n\) are offspring of the immigrant which joined the population at time \(i\). We study the conditional distribution of \(Y_n\) given \(\mathcal A_i(n)\) when \(n\) is large and \(i\) follows different asymptotics which may be related to \(n\) (\(i\) fixed, close to \(n\), or going to infinity but far from \(n\)).
Similar content being viewed by others
References
V. I. Afanasyev, C. Böinghoff, G. Kersting, and V. A. Vatutin, “Limit theorems for weakly subcritical branching processes in random environment,” J. Theor. Probab. 25 (3), 703–732 (2012).
V. I. Afanasyev, Ch. Böinghoff, G. Kersting, and V. A. Vatutin, “Conditional limit theorems for intermediately subcritical branching processes in random environment,” Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré, Probab. Stat. 50 (2), 602–627 (2014).
V. I. Afanasyev, J. Geiger, G. Kersting, and V. A. Vatutin, “Criticality for branching processes in random environment,” Ann. Probab. 33 (2), 645–673 (2005).
E. Dyakonova, D. Li, V. Vatutin, and M. Zhang, “Branching processes in a random environment with immigration stopped at zero,” J. Appl. Probab. 57 (1), 237–249 (2020).
W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications (J. Wiley & Sons, New York, 2008), Vol. 2.
J. Geiger and G. Kersting, “The survival probability of a critical branching process in a random environment,” Theory Probab. Appl. 45 (3), 517–525 (2001).
Y. Guivarc’h and Q. Liu, “Propriétés asymptotiques des processus de branchement en environnement aléatoire,” C. R. Acad. Sci., Paris, Sér. I, Math. 332 (4), 339–344 (2001).
G. Kersting and V. Vatutin, Discrete Time Branching Processes in Random Environment (J. Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ, 2017).
D. Li, V. Vatutin, and M. Zhang, “Subcritical branching processes in random environment with immigration stopped at zero,” J. Theor. Probab. 34 (2), 874–896 (2021); arXiv: 1906.09590 [math.PR].
N. J. Matzke, “Model selection in historical biogeography reveals that founder-event speciation is a crucial process in island clades,” Syst. Biol. 63 (6), 951–970 (2014).
Ch. Smadi and V. Vatutin, “Critical branching processes in random environment with immigration: Survival of a single family,” Extremes 24 (3), 433–460 (2021).
V. A. Vatutin and E. E. Dyakonova, “Subcritical branching processes in random environment with immigration: Survival of a single family,” Theory Probab. Appl. 65 (4), 527–544 (2021) [transl. from Teor. Veroyatn. Primen. 65 (4), 671–692 (2020)].
V. A. Vatutin, E. E. Dyakonova, and S. Sagitov, “Evolution of branching processes in a random environment,” Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 282, 220–242 (2013) [transl. from Tr. Mat. Inst. Steklova 282, 231–256 (2013)].
Acknowledgments
The authors thank the anonymous referee, whose comments helped to eliminate a number of inaccuracies contained in the original version of the paper.
Funding
This work is supported by the Russian Science Foundation under grant 19-11-00111.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Published in Russian in Trudy Matematicheskogo Instituta imeni V.A. Steklova, 2022, Vol. 316, pp. 355–375 https://doi.org/10.4213/tm4206.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Vatutin, V.A., Smadi, C. Critical Branching Processes in a Random Environment with Immigration: The Size of the Only Surviving Family. Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 316, 336–355 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0081543822010230
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0081543822010230