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Cosmic Regulators of the Earth’s Climate

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Abstract

A discussion is presented of the effects generated by the imbalance between the insolation energy of polar-day zones and the radiation energy of polar-night zones on multicentennial changes in the Earth’s climate. The dependence of this imbalance on the Earth’s orbital parameters is determined. The energy imbalance curves are compared with the known temperature curves for the polar regions, which have been estimated from the results of an analysis of ice cores taken in Antarctica and Greenland. The curves clearly reveal a difference between the contributions of cosmic and terrestrial factors to the temperature profiles for the regions in question and demonstrate a synchronicity of these factors. Algorithms are obtained for calculating the magnitude of fluctuations in the size of the Earth’s polar caps relative to their averages. The results obtained within the assumptions taken in this work enable predictions to be made about the development of the current global warming and about changes in the size of the Arctic and Antarctic polar caps. It is predicted that over the next three millennia, changes in the Earth’s orbital parameters will contribute to the slow melting of the northern polar cap. Then, the trend for a new growth of the northern polar cap will again manifest itself. In the Southern Hemisphere, a trend towards increased glaciation has already formed. Influenced by the cosmic factor, it will intensify over the next 20 000 years.

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Funding

This work was supported by ongoing institutional funding. No additional grants to carry out or direct this particular research were obtained.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Space Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

    G. A. Avanesov & B. S. Zhukov

  2. Korolev Rocket and Space Corporation Energia, Korolev, Russia

    M. V. Mikhailov

  3. Russian Institute of Hydrometeorological Information—World Data Center, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, Russia

    B. G. Sherstyukov

Authors
  1. G. A. Avanesov
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  2. B. S. Zhukov
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  3. M. V. Mikhailov
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  4. B. G. Sherstyukov
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Correspondence to G. A. Avanesov.

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Translated by A. Kobkova

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Avanesov, G.A., Zhukov, B.S., Mikhailov, M.V. et al. Cosmic Regulators of the Earth’s Climate. Sol Syst Res 57, 533–543 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0038094623060011

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0038094623060011

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