Abstract
Method of short-term forecast intensity of geomagnetic storms, expected by effect Solar wind magnetic clouds in the Earth’s magnetosphere is developed. The method is based calculation of the magnetic field clouds distribution, suitable to the Earth, the initial satellite measurements therein components of the interplanetary magnetic field in the solar ecliptic coordinate system. Conclusion about the magnetic storm intensity is expected on the basis of analysis of the dynamics of the reduced magnetic field Bz component clouds and established communication intensity of geomagnetic storms on Dst-index values and Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field vector.
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Barkhatov, N.A., Levitin, A.E. & Revunova, E.A. Geomagnetic storm intensity forecast caused by magnetic clouds of solar wind. Geomagn. Aeron. 54, 718–726 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1134/S001679321406005X
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S001679321406005X