Skip to main content
Log in

Space Methods of Studying the Precursor Cycle Dynamics of the Lineament System before the Preparation of Earthquakes

  • USE OF SPACE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTH STUDYING CATASTROPHIC NATURAL PROCESSES FROM SPACE
  • Published:
Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper presents the results of studying the precursor cyclic stress-strain state of the lithosphere during the preparation of significant seismic events using the automated lineament analysis of multitemporal space images. The proposed method has been tested by the example of a number of strong and devastating earthquakes over the past decade in different parts of the world. The identified precursor cyclical dynamics of lineament systems has a period of 1 to 3 months and makes it possible to predict the time, place, and possible magnitude of earthquakes.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 7.
Fig. 8.
Fig. 9.
Fig. 10.
Fig. 11.
Fig. 12.
Fig. 13.
Fig. 14.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. Barsukov, V.L., Belyaev, A.A., Bakaldin, Yu.A., Igumnov, V.A., Ibragimova, T.L., Serebrennikov, V.S., and Sultankhodzhaev, A.N., Geokhimicheskie metody prognoza zemletryasenii (Geochemical Methods of Earthquake Forecast), Moscow: Nauka, 1992.

  2. Bazavluk, T.A. and Yudakhin, F.N., Deformation waves in the earth crust of the Tien Shan according to seismologic data, Dokl. Ross. Akad. Nauk, 1993, vol. 329, no. 5, pp. 565–570.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bondur, V.G., Aerospace methods and technologies for monitoring oil and gas areas and facilities, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2011, vol. 47, no. 9, pp. 1007–1018.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Bondur, V. and Kuznetsova, L., Satellite monitoring of seismic hazard area geodynamics using the method of lineament analysis, 31st Int. Symp. on Remote Sensing of the Environment (ISRSE), 2005, pp. 376–379.

  5. Bondur, V.G. and Smirnov, V.M., Method for monitoring seismically hazardous territories by ionospheric variations recorded by satellite navigation systems, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2005a, vol. 403, no. 5, pp. 736–740.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Bondur, V. and Smirnov, V., Monitoring of ionosphere variations during the preparation and realization of earthquakes using satellite navigation system data, 31st International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment (ISRSE), 2005b, pp. 372–375.

  7. Bondur, V.G. and Smirnov, V.M., Seismoionospheric variations during the earthquake in Pakistan (September 2005) as potential precursor of seismic events, Int. Conference on Advances in Space Technologies (ICAST 2006): Space Technologies for Disaster Management and Rehabilitation, 2–3 September 2006, Islamabad, Pakistan, 2006, AST06-108, pp. 11–15.

  8. Bondur, V.G. and Zverev, A.T., A method of earthquake forecast based on the lineament analysis of satellite images, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2005a, vol. 402, no. 4, pp. 561–567.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Bondur, V.G. and Zverev, A.T., Satellite method of earthquake forecast based on the analysis of lineament system dynamics, Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 2005b, no. 3, pp. 37–52 [in Russian].

  10. Bondur, V.G. and Zverev, A.T., The physical nature of lineaments recorded in space images at monitoring of seismically hazardous areas, Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosmosa, 2006, no. 3, no. 2, pp. 177–183.

  11. Bondur, V.G. and Zverev, A.T., Mechanism of the formation of lineaments recorded in space images at monitoring of seismically hazardous areas, Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 2007, no. 1, pp. 47–56 [in Russian].

  12. Bondur, V.G., Zverev, A.T., and Kuznetsova, L.V., Satellite monitoring of the dynamics of lineament systems during the preparation of earthquakes in California, Izv. Vyssh. Uchebn. Zaved., Geod. Aerofotos’emka, 2005, no. 5, pp. 47–55 [in Russian].

  13. Bondur, V.G., Zverev, A.T., and Kuznetsova, L.V., Satellite monitoring of geodynamic precursors of large earthquakes, Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosmosa, 2006, vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 184–189.

    Google Scholar 

  14. Bondur, V.G., Garagash, I.A., Gokhberg, M.B., Lapshin, V.M., Nechaev, Yu.V., Steblov, G.M., and Shalimov, S.L., Geomechanical models and ionospheric variations related to strongest earthquakes and weak influence of atmospheric pressure gradients, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2007, vol. 414, no. 4, pp. 666–669.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Bondur, V.G., Krapivin, V.F., and Savinykh, V.P., Monitoring i prognozirovanie prirodnykh katastrof (Monitoring and Forecast of Natural Catastrophes), Moscow: Nauchnyi mir, 2009 [in Russian].

  16. Bondur, V.G., Zverev, A.T., Bulatova, A.L., and Gaponova, E.V., Study of changes in the field of stress during the preparation of earthquakes using oblong lines of lineament rose diagrams, Sb. tez. konf. (Abstracts of Conference), Moscow: IKI RAN, 2010a, pp. 250–251.

  17. Bondur, V.G., Zverev, A.T., Bulatova, A.L., Gaponova, E.V., and Tsidilina, M.N., Automated processing of time series of space images for studying the dynamics of lineaments aimed at earthquake forecast, Izv. Vyssh. Uchebn. Zaved., Geod. Aerofotos’emka, 2010b, no. 4, pp. 69–77 [in Russian].

  18. Bondur, V.G., Garagash, I.A., Gokhberg, M.B., Lapshin, V.M., and Nechaev, Yu.V., Connection between variations of the stress–strain state of the Earth’s crust and seismic activity: the example of Southern California, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2010c, vol. 430, no. 1, pp. 147–150.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Bondur V.G., Zverev A.T., Zima A.L., Gaponova E.V. Detecting indicators of deformation waves – earthquake precursors by means of lineament analysis of nonsimultaneous space imagery // Izv. Vyssh. Uchebn. Zaved., Geod. Aerofotos’emka. 2011. no. 5. p. 34–42 [in Russian].

  20. Bondur, V.G., Garagash, I.A., and Gokhberg, M.B., Large scale interaction of seismically active tectonic provinces: the example of Southern California, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2016a, vol. 466, no. 2, pp. 183–186

  21. Bondur, V.G., Garagash, I.A., Gokhberg, M.B., and Rodkin, M.V., The evolution of the stress state in Southern California based on the geomechanical model and current seismicity, Izv.,Phys. Solid Earth, 2016b, vol. 52, no. 1, pp. 117–128.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Bondur, V.G., Tsidilina, M.N., Gaponova, E.V., and Voronova, O.S., Systematization of ionospheric, geodynamic, and thermal precursors of strong (M ≥ 6) earthquakes detected from space, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2018, vol. 54, no. 9, pp. 1172–1185.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Gidrogeokhimicheskie predvestniki zemletryasenii (Hydrogeochemical Precursors of Earthquakes), Varshal, G.M., Ed., Moscow: Nauka, 1985, pp. 41–48.

    Google Scholar 

  24. Gufeld, I.L., Physicochemical mechanics of large crustal earthquakes, J. Volcanol. Seismol., 2008, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 55–58.

    Google Scholar 

  25. Kissin, I.G., Flyuidy v zemnoi kore: geofizicheskie i tektonicheskie aspekty (Fluids in the Earth’s Crust), Moscow: Nauka, 2009.

  26. Kissin, I.G. and Gumen, A.M., Hydrogeological indicators of current movements of the Earth’s crust in an aseismic area, Dokl. Ross. Akad. Nauk, 1994, vol. 334, no. 6, pp. 768–772.

    Google Scholar 

  27. Kuz’min, Yu.O. and Zhukov, V.S., Sovremennaya geodinamika i variatsii fizicheskikh svoistv gornykh porod (Modern Geodynamics and Variations of Physical Properties of Rocks), Moscow: Mosk. gos. gorn. univ., 2004.

  28. Nerserov, I.L., Perederin, V.P., Bokanenko, L.I., and Galaganov, O.N., Local deformations, Earth surface slopes and groundwater level variations in the Garm polygon in 1981–1987, Zemletryaseniya i protsessy ikh podgotovki (Earthquakes and Processes of Their Preparation), Moscow: Nauka, 1991, pp. 164–181.

    Google Scholar 

  29. Nikonov, A.A., Zemletryasenie… (Proshloe, sovremennost’, prognoz) (Earthquakes… (Past, Present, and Forecast)), Moscow: Znanie, 1984.

  30. Pevnev, A.K., On unclaimed possibilities of the geodetic method in the problem of earthquake forecast, Geod. Kartogr., 2000, no. 7, pp. 24–37.

  31. Ponomarev, A.V., Salov, B.G., Zav’yalov, A.D., and Irisova, E.L., Study of electrotelluric field variations, Kompleksnoe issledovanie po prognozu zemletryasenii (Integrated Study on Earthquake Forecast), Moscow: Nauka, 1991, pp. 199–207.

    Google Scholar 

  32. Prutskaya, L.D., Zdorov, A.G., Baturina, N.V., Krutkina, O.N., Main results of twenty-year studies on the problem of earthquake forecast in North Caucasus, Regional’naya geologiya i metallogeniya (Regional Geology and Metallogeny), St. Petersburg: VSEGEI, 2005, vol. 25, pp. 190–199.

    Google Scholar 

  33. Zlatopol’skii, A.A., A technique for measuring orientation characteristics of remote sensing data (LESSA), Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosmosa, 2008, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 102–112.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Funding

This study was supported by the Ministry of Education and Science of Russia under the state assignment no. 075-00896-19-00.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to V. G. Bondur or A. T. Zverev.

Additional information

Translated by D. Zabolotny

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Bondur, V.G., Zverev, A.T., Gaponova, E.V. et al. Space Methods of Studying the Precursor Cycle Dynamics of the Lineament System before the Preparation of Earthquakes. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 55, 1266–1282 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433819090111

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433819090111

Keywords:

Navigation