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Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean

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Abstract

Tsunami forecast possibilities for areas with a small base of historical tsunamis have been discussed using the Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) method, which is based on a statistical analysis of a sufficiently large number of real and predictive earthquakes with a subsequent calculation of possible tsunami waves. This method has been used for a long-term tsunami hazard assessment on the Mediterranean coast of Egypt. The predicted wave heights have been shown to vary along the coastline due to the inhomogeneity of the coastal topography and specific features of the tsunami radiation pattern in the sea. The predicted wave heights for 1000 years vary in the range between 0.8 and 3.4 m.

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Funding

The results of this study were obtained within the state task of scientific activities (Task nos. 5.4568.2017/6.7 and 5.5176.2017/8.9), as well as with financial support by a grant from the President of the Russian Federation for state support for leading scientific schools (Nsh-2685.2018.5) and the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project nos. 17-05-00067 and 18-0580018).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University n.a. R.E. Alekseev, 603950, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia

    A. I. Zaytsev & A. A. Kurkin

  2. Special Research Bureau for Automation of Marine Research, Russian Academy of Sciences, Far East Branch, 693023, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, Russia

    A. I. Zaytsev

  3. GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 14473, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany

    A. Yu. Babeyko

  4. Middle East Technical University, bldng K5-014, 06800, Ankara, Turkey

    A. C. Yalciner

  5. Federal Research Center Institute of Applied Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, 603950, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia

    E. N. Pelinovsky

  6. National Research University-Higher School of Economics, 101000, Moscow, Russia

    E. N. Pelinovsky

  7. University of Southern Queensland, West St., QLD 4350, Darling Heights, Toowoomba, Australia

    E. N. Pelinovsky

Authors
  1. A. I. Zaytsev
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  2. A. Yu. Babeyko
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  3. A. A. Kurkin
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  4. A. C. Yalciner
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  5. E. N. Pelinovsky
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Correspondence to A. I. Zaytsev, A. Yu. Babeyko, A. A. Kurkin, A. C. Yalciner or E. N. Pelinovsky.

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Translated by V. Arutyunyan

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Zaytsev, A.I., Babeyko, A.Y., Kurkin, A.A. et al. Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 55, 462–469 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1134/S000143381905013X

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S000143381905013X

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