Abstract
We consider the dynamics of some meteorological parameters in Gorny Altai from 2000 to 2011. We analyzed the variations in the meteorological parameters related to the strong Chuya earthquake (September 27, 2003). A number of anomalies were revealed in the time series. Before this strong earthquake, the winter temperatures at the nearest meteorological station to the earthquake source increased by 8–10°C (by 2009 they returned to the mean values), while the air humidity in winter decreased. In the winter of 2002, we observed a long negative anomaly in the time series of the atmospheric pressure. At the same time, the decrease in the released seismic energy was replaced by the tendency to its increase. Using wavelet analysis we revealed the synchronism in the dynamics of the atmospheric parameters, variations in the solar and geomagnetic activities, and geodynamic processes. We also discuss the relationship of the atmospheric and geodynamic processes and the comfort conditions of the population in the climate analyzed here.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aptikaeva, O.I., Time series analysis techniques, in Atlas vremennykh variatsii prirodnykh, antropogennykh i sotsial’nykh protsessov (Atlas of Temporal Variations in Natural, Anthropogenic, and Social Processes), vol. 4: Chelovek i tri okruzhayushchie ego sredy (The Man and the Three Environments), Moscow: Svetoch Plyus, 2009, pp. 113–327.
Aptikaeva, O.I., Gamburtsev, A.G., and Stepanova, S.I., Variations of biorhythm composition in healthy people, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2010, vol. 46, no. 7, pp. 830–837.
Aptikaeva, O.I. and Shitov, A.V., Dynamics of morbidity rate in a population before and after severe earthquakes and its relationship with other natural factors (using the example of the 2003 Chuya earthquake), Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2010, vol. 46, no. 7, pp. 891–897.
Atlas vremennykh variatsii prirodnykh, antropogennykh i sotsial’nykh protsessov (Atlas of Temporal Variations in Natural, Anthropogenic, and Social Processes), vol. 4: Chelovek i tri okruzhayushchie ego sredy (The Man and the Three Environments), Moscow: Svetoch Plyus, 2009.
Berezin, A.A., Gusev, G.A., and Gufel’d, I.L., Influence of geophysical fields on the biological system and problems of forecasting strong earthquakes, Problemy geofiziki XXI veka (Problems of Geophysics in the 21st Century), Nikolaev, A.N., Ed., Moscow: Nauka, 2003, vol. 2, pp. 37–70.
Bibikova, T.N., Proskuryakova, T.A., Zhurba, E.V., and Alekseev, V.A., Correction of tectonic fracture locations by field measurements of cloudiness, Proc. of the 3rd All-Russian Scientific Conference “Physical Problems Ecology: Ecological Physics,” Moscow, May 22–24, 2001, Moscow: Izd-vo MGU, 2001, p. 120.
Bogdanov, V.V., Study of geospheric dynamical processes initiated by solar and lithospheric processes, Extended Abstract of Doctoral (Phys.-Math.) Dissertation, Paratunka, 2008.
Bolotova, M.V., Voevodin, V.A., Kovalenko, V.V., and Kurguz, S.A., Radon-hazard potential of the Krasnoyarsk region: Problems of prediction, investigation, and decision-making for reducing the population exposure to radiation through a case study of the town of Krasnoyarsk, Proc. of the 2nd Int. Conf. “Radioactivity and Radioactive Elements in Human Environment,” Tomsk: Tandem-Art, 2004, pp. 52–54.
Butaev, A.M., Abdulaeva, A.S., and Guruev, M.A., Natural radionuclides in the rocks and soils of Dagestan and the radon content in the air of living areas, Vestn. Dagest. Nauchn. Tsentra, 2006, no. 23, pp. 59–65.
Chistova, Z.B. and Kutinov, Yu.G., Tectonic nodes and earthquake sources: similarity and difference, in Problems of Seismotectonics: Proc. of the 17th All-Russian Conference with International Participation, Voronezh, September 20–22, 2011, Voronezh, 2011, pp. 530–534.
Deshcherevskaya, E.V. and Sidorin, A.Ya., Intraseasonal seismicity variations in the Garm test area and their relation with atmospheric processes, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2005, vol. 401, no. 2, pp. 285–288.
Goldin, S.V., Timofeev, V.Yu., and Ardyukov, D.G., Fields of the Earth’s surface displacement in the Chuya earthquake zone in Gorny Altai, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2005, vol. 405, no. 9, pp. 1408–1413.
Gvozdarev, A.Yu., Construction of schematic maps of radon-flow activity and density and analysis of its link with morbidity, Main Problems of Environmental Protection and Human Wellbeing in the Siberian Federal District, Possibilities of Their Solution: Proc. of Conf., Gorno-Altaisk, 2006, pp. 137–147.
Mil’kis, M.R., Hydrogeological and hydrometeorological precursors of the Ashkhabad catastrophic earthquake, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 1983, vol. 273, no. 5, pp. 1061–1094.
Modina, T.D., Klimaty Respubliki Altai (Climates of the Republic of Altai), Novosibirsk: Izd-vo NGU, 1997.
Morozova, L.I., Dynamics of cloud anomalies above faults in periods of natural and induced seismicity, Izv., Phys. Solid Earth, 1997, vol. 33, no. 9, pp. 778–780.
Naumenko, B.N., On the phenomenon of partial liquidation of tectonic stresses by storm microseisms, Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 1979, no. 8, pp. 72–75.
Osika, D.G. and Cherkashin, V.I., Energetika i flyuidodinamika seismichnosti (Energetics and Fluid Dynamics of Seismicity), Moscow: Nauka, 2008.
Ostrovskii, A.A., The possible cause of seasonal periodicity of some Californian earthquakes, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 1990, vol. 313, no. 1, pp. 83–86.
Shitov, A.V., Kats, V.E., and Khar’kina, M.A., Ecological and geodynamical assessment of the Chuya earthquake, Vestn. Mosk. Univ., Ser. 4: Geol., 2008, no. 3, pp. 41–47.
Sidorin, A.Ya., Predvestniki zemletryasenii (Earthquake Precursors), Moscow: Nauka, 1992.
Sokolova, L.C. and Duchkov, A.D., New data on the heat flow in the Altai-Sayan region, Geol. Geofiz., 2008, vol. 49, no. 12, pp. 1248–1261.
Zakrzhevskaya, N.A. and Sobolev, G.A., Influence of sudden-commencement magnetic storms on seismicity in different regions, Vulkanol. Seismol., 2004, no. 3, pp. 63–75.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Original Russian Text © O.I. Aptikaeva, A.V. Shitov, 2014, published in Geofizicheskie Protsessy i Biosfera, 2014, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 34–46.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Aptikaeva, O.I., Shitov, A.V. Results of meteorological monitoring in Gorny Altai before and after the Chuya earthquake in 2003. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 50, 766–775 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433814080027
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433814080027