Abstract
Refined data of systematic measurements of total water vapor in the atmosphere from May 1980 to April 2005 are presented. The data were obtained at the Issyk Kul atmospheric-monitoring station by the method of solar molecular-absorption spectroscopy. Over 25 years, the annual mean water-vapor content in the atmosphere increased by 4.5% at a mean rate of increase of 0.18% per year. However, the water-vapor content decreased in the last five years. The results of statistical processing of experimental data (general statistical characteristics, correlation coefficients, composite oscillations) are described. A refined model is proposed for forecasts of temporal variations in the monthly mean and annual mean water-vapor contents for the coming years. The model includes a linear trend and the sum of oscillations with periods close to the periods of a number of well-known geophysical phenomena. Regression equations are proposed to relate the water-vapor content in the atmospheric column to the surface temperature and absolute humidity.
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Original Russian Text © V.N. Aref’ev, F.V. Kashin, V.K. Semenov, R.M. Akimenko, N.E. Kamenogradskii, N.I. Sizov, V.P. Sinyakov, L.B. Upenek, V.P. Ustinov, 2006, published in Izvestiya AN. Fizika Atmosfery i Okeana, 2006, Vol. 42, No. 6, pp. 803–815.
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Aref’ev, V.N., Kashin, F.V., Semenov, V.K. et al. Water vapor in the atmosphere over the northern Tien Shan. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 42, 739–751 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433806060089
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433806060089