Abstract
In the article, variants of the development of the agricultural sector of the economy are analyzed taking into account the government regulation measures, investment risks, and other parameters, and variants of the economic growth of agricultural business are substantiated. Using different methods and models, the scenario calculations of forecasts of financial development of the agricultural business in Penza oblast are given from the point of view of estimating the investment risk of agricultural enterprises and the probability of their bankruptcy.
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Original Russian Text © D.Yu. Samygin, N.G. Baryshnikov, 2015.
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Samygin, D.Y., Baryshnikov, N.G. Scenarios of agricultural business development in Penza oblast: Forecast and risk estimate. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 26, 59–62 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700715010037
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700715010037