Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth

, Volume 53, Issue 4, pp 545–555 | Cite as

Assessment of seismic hazard of the Japanese islands based on fractal analysis of GPS time series

  • D. M. FilatovEmail author
  • A. A. Lyubushin


Based on the fractal analysis of the time series of the Earth’s surface vertical displacements in the region of the Japanese Archipelago, the maps of the estimates of seismic activity in the region over 2015 are constructed. The analysis of the maps revealed several segments of the territory which are prone to the emergence of significant earthquakes. The characteristic peculiarity is noted in the change of the behavior of the geophysical dynamic system—the Earth’s crust—before the occurrence of seismic events: the mechanism of transition to the critical state demonstrates the energy preservation of the low frequencies with the simultaneous energy decay of the middle and high frequencies, which differs from the behavior of the other dynamical systems.


fractal analysis of GPS time series seismic activity earthquake precursors critical states Nankai trough Tohoku region 


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© Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Schmidt Institute of Physics of the EarthRussian Academy of SciencesMoscowRussia

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