Russian Journal of Ecology

, Volume 40, Issue 1, pp 6–17 | Cite as

Forest ecosystems of the volga basin under conditions of global climate warming: Local ecological prediction

  • E. G. Kolomyts


Prediction based on one of the latest extreme prognostic models, the Hadley Centre Model HadCM3 (version A2) has been performed using an original method of discrete empirical statistical modeling of ecosystems. Probabilistic scenarios of the expected changes in summer soil moisture content until the mid-22nd century and corresponding structural and functional changes in forest ecosystems for different zonal/regional conditions of the Volga basin are described.

Key words

ecosystem biogeocenosis climatic changes empirical statistical modeling landscape-ecological prediction 


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Copyright information

© MAIK Nauka 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Institute of Ecology of the Volga BasinRussian Academy of SciencesTolyattiRussia

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