Abstract
Theresa May became prime minister in July 2016 as a direct result of the Brexit referendum. This article examines her political inheritance and leadership in the immediate wake of the vote. It analyses the factors that led to her victory in the ensuing Tory leadership contest and explores both the main challenges that confronted her and the main features of her response to them. During her first 9 months in office, May gave effect to the referendum, defined Brexit as entailing Britain’s removal from membership of the European Union’s single market and customs union and sought to reposition her party. However, her failure to secure a majority in the 2017 general election gravely weakened her authority and the viability of her plans. At time of writing, it is unclear how much longer her premiership can last or if she will be able to exercise effective leadership over Brexit.
This is a preview of subscription content,
to check access.Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Although the Conservatives’ 330 MPs (out of 650) suggested an absolute majority of only ten, the four Sinn Féin MPs refused to take their seats in the House of Commons, and neither the speaker nor his three deputies—one Tory and two Labour MPs—would be expected to vote. As a result, the government’s majority was 16 in practice.
This proportion refers to the seven out of 27 ministers entitled to attend cabinet.
References
Allen, N. 2011. Labour’s third term: A tale of two prime ministers. In Britain at the Polls 2010, ed. N. Allen, and J. Bartle, 1–36. London: Sage Publications.
Bale, T. 2010. The Conservative Party from Thatcher to Cameron. Cambridge: Polity.
BBC News. 2016. EU vote: Where the cabinet and other MPs stand, 22 June. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-35616946. Accessed 13 September 2016.
Buller, J., and T.S. James. 2012. Statecraft and the assessment of national political leaders: The case of New Labour and Tony Blair. British Journal of Politics and International Relations 14 (4): 534–555.
Coates, S. 2016. May resists pressure to relax visa rules for Indian migrants. The Times, 8 November.
Coates, S., and O. Wright. 2016. Hard Brexit could cost £66bn a year. The Times, 1 October.
Coulson, A. 2016. Theresa, the safe pair of hands, versus Michael, the wit of Westminster. The Daily Telegraph, 2 July.
Day, E. 2014. Theresa May: What lies beyond the public image. The Observer, 27 July.
Dommett, K. 2015. The theory and practice of party modernisation: The Conservative Party under David Cameron, 2005-2015. British Politics 10 (2): 249–266.
Douglas-Scott, S. 2016. Removing references to EU law from the devolution legislation would require the consent of the devolved assemblies. Constitution Unit blog, 13 June. https://constitution-unit.com/2016/06/13/removing-references-to-eu-law-from-the-devolution-legislation-would-invoke-the-sewel-convention/.
Elliott, F. 2016a. May storms into lead as rivals battle for No 10. The Times, 6 July.
Elliott, F. 2016b. Leadsom steps from the shadows to take on May. The Times, 8 July.
Elliott, F., S. Coates, and M. Savage. 2017. Call snap election to crush Labour, cabinet ministers tell May. The Times, 8 March.
Ford, R., and M. Goodwin. 2014. Revolt on the right: Explaining support for the radical right in Britain. Abingdon: Routledge.
Gamble, A. 2015. Austerity as statecraft. Parliamentary Affairs 68 (1): 42–57.
Heffernan, R. 2003. Prime ministerial predominance? Core executive politics in the UK. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations 5 (3): 347–372.
Heffernan, R. 2006. The prime minister and the news media: Political communication as a leadership resource. Parliamentary Affairs 59 (4): 582–598.
Hennessy, P. 2000. The prime minister: The office and its holders since 1945. London: Allen Lane.
Heppell, T. 2013. Cameron and liberal conservatism: Attitudes within the parliamentary Conservative Party and Conservative ministers. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations 15 (3): 340–361.
Keate, G. 2016. May’s majority slips as quitting Brexiteer calls Tories ‘Ukip lite’. The Times, 5 November.
Keate, G., G. Paton, and J. Sherman. 2016. I’ll steady the ship but I can’t be its captain. The Times, 25 June.
Kerr, P., and R. Hayton. 2015. Whatever happened to Conservative Party modernisation? British Politics 10 (2): 114–130.
King, A. 1991. The British prime ministership in the age of the career politician. West European Politics 14 (2): 25–47.
King, A. 2007. The British Constitution. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Laws, D. 2016. Coalition: The inside story of the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government. London: Biteback Publishing.
Lynch, P., and R. Whitaker. 2013. Where there is discord, can they bring harmony? Managing intra-party dissent on European integration in the Conservative Party. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations 15 (3): 317–339.
McIntosh, L., and H. Macdonell. 2016. Scotland prepares for second ballot on independence. The Times, 25 June.
May, T. 2016a. Theresa May’s launch statement, 30 June. http://press.conservatives.com/post/147947693170/theresa-mays-launch-statement. Accessed 31 January 2017.
May, T. 2016b. Statement from the new prime minister Theresa May, 13 July. https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/statement-from-the-new-prime-minister-theresa-may. Accessed 31 January 2017.
May, T. 2016c. Britain after Brexit: A vision of a global Britain. Speech to Conservative party conference, Birmingham, 2 October. http://press.conservatives.com/post/151239411635/prime-minister-britain-after-brexit-a-vision-of. Accessed 31 January 2017.
May, T. 2016d. The good that government can do. Speech to Conservative party conference, Birmingham, 5 October. http://press.conservatives.com/post/151378268295/prime-minister-the-good-that-government-can-do. Accessed on 31 January 2017.
May, T. 2017. The government’s negotiating objectives for exiting the EU. Speech at Lancaster House, London, 17 January. https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/the-governments-negotiating-objectives-for-exiting-the-eu-pm-speech. Accessed 31 January 2017.
Norton, P. 2016. The Fixed-term Parliaments Act and votes of confidence. Parliamentary Affairs 69 (1): 3–18.
Oliver, C. 2016. Unleashing demons: The inside story of Brexit. London: Hodder and Stoughton.
Parker G., and H. Warrell. 2014. Theresa May: Britain’s Angela Merkel? Financial Times Magazine, 25 July.
Pickard, J., and H. Warrell. 2016. David Davis view on leaving single market ‘not government policy’. The Financial Times, 6 September.
Putnam, R.D. 1988. Diplomacy and domestic politics: The logic of two-level games. International Organization 42 (3): 427–460.
Quinn, T. 2012. Electing and ejecting party leaders in Britain. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
Rawnsley, A. 2016. If you can’t beat Jeremy Corbyn, you’d better try to learn from him. The Observer, 25 September.
Riddell, P. 1993. Honest opportunism: The rise of the career politician. London: Hamish Hamilton.
Ross, T. 2016. Tory MPs set up new group to push for Brexit. The Sunday Telegraph, 18 September.
Rutter, J., and J. McCrae. 2016. Brexit: Organising whitehall to deliver. Briefing Paper. London: Institute for Government.
Savage, M. 2016. Candid on camera: Clarke derides leadership hopefuls. The Times, 6 July.
Slack, J. 2016. Enemies of the people. Daily Mail, 4 November.
Swinford, S. 2016. May heads for Brexit without vote by MPs. The Daily Telegraph, 27 August.
Sylvester, R. 2016. ‘I’m sure Theresa will be really sad that she doesn’t have children…’. The Times, 9 July.
The Economist. 2016. Mind your step. 8 October.
Theakston, K. 2013. Evaluating prime-ministerial performance: The British experience. In Understanding prime-ministerial performance: Comparative perspective, ed. P. Strangio, P. ‘t Hart, and J. Walter, 221–241. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Thomson, A. and Sylvester, R. (2016) Inside the new No 10: purges, puritanism and zebra-prints. The Times, 1 October.
Warrell, H., G. Parker, and J. Blitz. 2017. Theresa May reshapes administration in Home Office mould. The Financial Times, 26 February.
Weaver, M. 2016. Theresa May nursed ambition to be Britain’s first female PM. The Guardian, 12 July.
Worthy, B. 2016. Ending in failure? The performance of ‘takeover’ prime ministers 1916–2016. The Political Quarterly 87 (4): 509–517.
Wright, O. 2017. Judges make history in Brexit blow to ministers. The Times, 25 January.
Wright, O. and S. Coates. 2016. Your choice is hard Brexit or remain, EU chief warns. The Times, 14 October.
YouGov. 2016a. YouGov/Times Survey Results [Conservative Party Members, Fieldwork: 1–4 July]. https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/dgak27s1eh/TimesResults_160704_ConservativeMembers.pdf. Accessed on 20 April 2017.
YouGov. 2016b. YouGov Survey Results [GB adults, Fieldwork: 31 July–August]. https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/k5u0h1qgsi/BrexitScenarios_160818.pdf. Accessed on 20 April 2017.
YouGov. 2017. YouGov Results Theresa May [GB adults, Fieldwork: 2–3 March]. http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/7xzfbpppjy/Internal_Results_170303_TheresaMay_w.pdf. Accessed 20 April 2017.
Zeffman, H., F. Gibb, and J. Ames. 2016. Businesses start legal fight to give MPs vote on exit, The Times, 5 July.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Allen, N. ‘Brexit means Brexit’: Theresa May and post-referendum British politics. Br Polit 13, 105–120 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41293-017-0067-3
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41293-017-0067-3