Abstract
This study examines the variation in theft of shoplifted fast-moving consumer goods. Typically, shoplifting is estimated using shrinkage—a composite of several causes of lost retail merchandise. This study, however, benefits from access to a retailer’s database, in which extraordinary steps are taken to identify and record losses due to shoplifting only. This study is unique because of the more valid measure of shoplifting. A 1-year cross-sectional sample of 7468 products, sold in 204 U.S. chain supermarkets, was drawn from the retailer’s specialized database. Using Clarke’s (Hot products: understanding, anticipating, and reducing demand for stolen goods. Policing and Reducing Crime Unit, Paper 112, Home Office, London, 1999) CRAVED model of theft, products’ theft rates were correlated to the attributes consistent with the most vulnerable targets of theft. The results show that theft rates of products were significantly correlated to the measures for CRAVED. Regression analysis indicated that the measures for CRAVED were significant predictors of theft. Specifically, products were stolen more often when they were more Concealable, less Available, more Valuable, Enjoyable, and more Disposable. The most frequently stolen types of products were several types of cosmetics—primarily small but expensive products (e.g., eye, nail, lip products). Additionally, electronics, toys, and games had high theft rates. Implications for retailers, manufacturers, and governments are discussed. Suggestions for further research are also considered.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.
Notes
For example, an EAS “soft tag” that is peeled off a product’s outer packaging and discarded.
Food items (e.g., meat and milk) were not included in the sample because (1) the retailer did not include foods in their “known-theft” database; (2) most foods are not stolen for trade or illicit selling purposes; and (3) the retailer reported that foods were not given the same level of loss prevention and surveillance as other non-food products. However, these products are FMCGs and two (meats and cheeses) have been known to be frequently stolen FMCGs (Bamfield 2012a). The only exceptions were for vitamin and nutrition products—these are considered over-the-counter drugs and supplements.
There were a small group of items that could not easily be shoplifted and were questionable if they were “fast-moving” goods (e.g., lawn chairs, televisions).
Certain products could not be selected and stolen by shoplifters because they were inaccessible to customers. Some of these products were kept in locked cases on the sales floor—namely infant formula and certain brands of razor cartridges. Further, all tobacco products were held behind the customer service counter, while pharmacies held OTC drugs containing pseudoephedrine and others behind the counter.
This is different from the quantity of individual products, which was discussed earlier in the dependent variable section. As mentioned in the section on the dependent variable, some products were displayed in greater quantities than others on the sales floor. Further, the number of product lines often reflected the number of brands per product type.
Acceptable ranges for VIF scores = 1.04–1.51; Tolerance scores = 0.66–0.95.
References
Baker, S. 2003. An analysis of timber trespass and theft issues in the southern Appalachian region, MSc thesis, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA.
Bamfield, J. 2012a. The tenth edition: Key findings from the global retail theft barometer 2011. Nottingham: Centre for Retail Research.
Bamfield, J. 2012b. Shopping and crime. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
Beck, A. 2010. Identifying the top 50 hot products in the fast-moving consumer goods sector in the UK. Brussels: ECR Europe.
Blanco, C., J. Grant, N. Petry, H. Simpson, A. Alegria, S.M. Liu, and D. Hasin. 2008. Prevalence and correlates of shoplifting in the United States: Results from the national epidemiologic survey on alcohol and related conditions. American Journal of Psychiatry 165 (7): 905–913.
Brantingham, P.J., and P.L. Brantingham. 1991. Environmental criminology. Prospect Heights, IL: Waveland Press.
British Retail Consortium. 2014. BRC Retail Crime Survey 2013. http://www.brc.org.uk/ePublications/BRC_Retail_Crime_Survey_2013. Accessed 21 Sept 2016.
Carmel-Gilfilen, C. 2011. Advancing retail security design: Uncovering shoplifter perceptions of the physical environment. Journal of Interior Design 36 (2): 21–38.
Carmel-Gilfilen, C. 2013. Bridging security and good design: Understanding perceptions of expert and novice shoplifters. Security Journal 26 (1): 80–105.
Clarke, R.V. 1999. Hot products: Understanding, anticipating and reducing demand for stolen goods. Policing and Reducing Crime Unit, Paper 112. London: Home Office.
Clarke, R.V., and G. Newman, eds. 2005. Designing out crime from products and systems. Crime Prevention Studies, Vol. 18. Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press.
Clarke, R.V., and G. Petrossian. 2012. The problem of shoplifting, 2nd edn. Problem-Oriented Guides for Police, Problem-Specific Guides Series, No. 11. Washington, DC: US Department of Justice.
Cohen, L.E., and M. Felson. 1979. Social change and crime rate trends: A routine activity approach. American Sociological Review 44 (4): 588–605.
Cornish, D., and R. Clarke. 1986. The reasoning criminal: Rational choice perspectives on offending. New York: Springer.
Cushman & Wakefield. 2016. The fast-moving consumer goods sector. http://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/sectors/fast-moving-consumer-goods. Accessed 2 Oct 2016.
Dabney, D., Hollinger, R., and Dugan, L. 2004. Who actually steals? A study of covertly observed shoplifters. Justice Quarterly 21 (4): 693–728.
Farrington, D.P. 1999. Measuring, explaining and preventing shoplifting: A review of British research. Security Journal 12 (1): 9–27.
Fass, S., and J. Francis. 2004. Where have all the hot goods gone? The role of pawnshops. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 41 (2): 156–179.
Gill, M., T. Burns-Howell, M. Hemming, J. Hart, R. Hayes, A. Wright, and R. Clarke. 2004. The illicit market in stolen fast-moving consumer goods: A global impact study. Leicester: Perpetuity Research and Consultancy International Ltd.
Gill, M., and R.V. Clarke. 2012. Slowing thefts of fast-moving goods. In Design against crime: Crime proofing everyday products, ed. P. Ekblom. Crime Prevention Studies, Vol. 27, 229–238. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers.
Global Retail Theft Barometer (GRTB). 2015. The new barometer 2014–2015. Thorofare, NJ: Checkpoint Systems Inc.
Hayes, R. 1999. Shop theft: An analysis of shoplifter perceptions and situational factors. Security Journal 12 (2): 7–18.
Hollinger, R., and A. Adams. 2008. 2007 National Retail Security Survey. Gainesville, FL: University of Florida.
Johnson, S.D., A. Sidebottom, and A. Thorpe. 2008. Bicycle theft. Problem-Oriented Guides for Police, Problem-Specific Guides Series, No. 52. Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, Office of Community Oriented Policing Services.
Johnson, S.D., K.J. Bowers, L. Gamman, L. Mamerow, and A. Warne. 2010. Theft of customers’ personal property in cafés and bars. Problem-Oriented Guides for Police, Problem-Specific Guides Series, No. 60. Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, Office of Community Oriented Policing Services.
Jacques, S., N. Lasky, and B.S. Fisher. 2015. Seeing the offenders’ perspective through the eye-tracking device methodological insights from a study of shoplifters. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice 31 (4): 449–467.
Langton, L., and R. Hollinger. 2005. Correlates of crime losses in the retail industry. Security Journal 18: 27–44.
Lasky, N.V., B.S. Fisher, and S. Jacques. 2015. ‘Thinking thief’ in the crime prevention arms race: Lessons learned from shoplifters. Security Journal. doi:10.1057/sj.2015.21. Accessed 4 Oct 2016.
Natarajan, M. 2012. A rational choice analysis of organized crime and trafficked goods. In The reasoning criminologist: Essays in honour of Ronald V. Clarke, ed. N. Tilley, and G. Farrell, 194–204. New York, NY: Routledge.
National Association of Shoplifting (NASP). 2006. Shoplifting statistics. http://www.shopliftingprevention.org/what-we-do/learning-resource-center/statistics. Accessed 5 Oct 2016.
Petrossian, G.A., and R.V. Clarke. 2014. Explaining and controlling illegal commercial fishing: An application of the CRAVED theft model. British Journal of Criminology 54 (1): 73–90.
Petrossian, G.A., J.S. Weis, and S.F. Pires. 2015. Factors affecting crab and lobster species subject to IUU fishing. Ocean and Coastal Management 106: 29–34.
Pires, S.F. 2015. A CRAVED analysis of multiple illicit parrot markets in Peru and Bolivia. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 21 (3): 321–336.
Pires, S.F., and R.V. Clarke. 2011. Sequential foraging, itinerant fences and parrot poaching in Bolivia. British Journal of Criminology 51 (2): 314–335.
Pires, S.F., and R.V. Clarke. 2012. Are parrots CRAVED? An analysis of parrot poaching in Mexico. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 49 (1): 122–146.
Pires, S.F., and G.A. Petrossian. 2016. Understanding parrot trafficking between illicit markets in Bolivia: An application of the CRAVED model. International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice 40 (1): 63–77.
Schneider, J. 2003. Prolific burglars and the role of shoplifting. Security Journal 16 (2): 49–59.
Schneider, J. 2005. The link between shoplifting and burglary: The booster burglar. British Journal of Criminology 45 (3): 395–401.
Sidebottom, A. 2013. On the application of CRAVED to livestock theft in Malawi. International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice 37 (3): 195–212.
Sidebottom, A., J. Belur, K. Bowers, L. Tompson, and S. Johnson. 2011. Theft in price-volatile markets: On the relationship between copper price and copper theft. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 48 (3): 396–418.
Smith, B.T. 2013. Differential shoplifting risks of fast-moving consumer goods, Doctoral dissertation, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ.
Smith, B.T. 2014. Shoplifting. In Encyclopedia of social deviance, ed. C.J. Forsyth, and H. Copes, 643–645. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Smith, B.T., and J.L. Schneider. 2014. Stolen goods markets. In The Encyclopedia of criminology and criminal justice, ed. J.S. Albanese, 1–5. Wiley: Hoboken, NJ.
Smith, B.T., and R.V. Clarke. 2015. Shoplifting of everyday products that serve illicit drug uses. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 52 (2): 245–269.
Smith, C., K.J. Bowers, and S.D. Johnson. 2006. Understanding bag theft within licensed premises in Westminster: Identifying initial steps towards prevention. Security Journal 19 (1): 3–21.
Stevenson, R., and L. Forsythe. 1998. Stolen goods market in New South Wales: An interview study with imprisoned burglars. Sydney: New South Wales Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research.
Stevenson, R., L. Forsythe, and D. Weatherburn. 2001. The stolen goods market in New South Wales, Australia: An analysis of disposal avenues and tactics. British Journal of Criminology 41 (1): 101–118.
Sutton, M. 1998. Handling stolen goods and theft: A market reduction approach. Home Office Research Study 178. London, UK: Home Office.
Sutton, M. 2008. How prolific thieves sell stolen goods: Describing, understanding, and tackling the local markets in Mansfield and Nottingham: A market reduction approach study. Internet Journal of Criminology. http://www.internetjournalofcriminology.com. Accessed 2 Sept 2016.
Sutton, M. (2010) Stolen Goods Markets. Problem-Oriented Guides for Police, Problem-Specific Guides Series, No. 57. Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, Office of Community Oriented Policing Services.
Sutton, M., J. Schneider, and S. Hetherington. 2001. Tackling theft with the market reduction approach. Crime Reduction Unit, Paper No. 8. London, UK: Home Office.
U.S. Congress, House of Representatives. 2005. The Combat Methamphetamine Epidemic Act. H.R. 3199. 109th Congress, 1st Session.
Walsh, D. 1978. Shoplifting: Controlling a major crime. London: Macmillan.
Weaver, F., and J. Carroll. 1985. Crime perceptions in a natural setting by expert and novice shoplifters. Social Psychology Quarterly 48: 349–359.
Wellsmith, M., and A. Burrell. 2005. The influence of purchase price and ownership levels on theft targets: The example of domestic burglary. British Journal of Criminology 45 (5): 741–764.
Whitehead, S., J. Mailley, I. Storer, J. McCardle, G. Torrens, and G. Farrell. 2008. In safe hands: A review of mobile phone anti-theft designs. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 14 (1): 39–60.
Acknowledgements
Many thanks are due to Ron Clarke for his considerable advice and guidance. The retailer is sincerely thanked for allowing access to their unique and valuable database. Robert Chase is thanked for helping to focus the paper early-on. The peer reviewers and editors are thanked for helping to improve the content of the paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Appendix 1: Product categories with examples of products
Appendix 1: Product categories with examples of products
Adult Incontinence: Male and female absorbing underwear, pads, diapers |
Analgesics Aspirin, acetaminophen, ibuprofen, naproxen |
Antacids Tums, Alka-Seltzer, Pepto-Bismol, Prevacid, Prilosec, Zantac |
Automotive accessories Maintenance fluids, air fresheners, interior and exterior clean/shine sprays |
Basic soaps Bath/shower bar soaps, hand soap, body wash, antibacterial soaps (all are for basic cleanliness purposes (e.g., Dial, Zest, Ivory) |
Bath accessories Specialty soaps, bath trays, soap dishes, dispensers, toothbrush holders, tub baskets |
Batteries Alkaline, 9 V, AAA, AA, C, D, assorted watch/smaller sized; Lithium AA, AAA |
Cell phone accessories Holsters, chargers, cables, cases, screen protectors |
Clothing and shoe care shoe cleaning, polish, clothing patches, sewing products, dry cleaning |
Cold and cough Tablets, liquids, nasal sprays, containing cough expectorants, suppressants, etc. (includes products containing DXM) |
Contraceptives Condoms, pregnancy tests, personal lubrication, spermicides |
Cosmetic and hair accessories nail clippers, tweezers, makeup brush |
Deodorants Male/female/clinical strength, anti-perspirants, anti-odor, bars, sticks, sprays, gels |
Diet and weight loss Weight loss pills, energy drinks, nutrition supplement drinks, caffeine pills |
Eye and ear All eye drops and ear drops; topical ear treatments |
Eye cosmetics Eyeshadow, eyelash/mascara, eyebrow color, eyeliner |
Face cosmetics Foundation, blush, makeup remover, concealer |
Feminine hygiene Tampons, Maxi Pads, Anti-infective washes, sprays, creams, gels |
Film and memory cards Camera film, SD memory cards, USB flash drives |
First-aid Band-aids, bandages, braces, slings, antiseptics, anti-infectives, dressing, topical remedies |
Foot care Topical applications for blisters, corns, etc., shoe inserts |
Hair coloring Hair dye, highlights, color shampoos/conditioners, beard coloring, cut/nick remedies |
Hair finishing Treatments, gels, sprays, mousse |
Hardware and tools Basic tools—hammers, screwdrivers, screws, cleaners/polishes for wood, stone, metals, extension cords, door knobs/locks, lubricants, adjustable wrenches, pliers, utility tools and knives, rope |
Household electrical Phone, TV, speaker accessories; wiring, adapters, plugs, recordable CD, DVD, VHS |
Kitchenware Cooking trays, pots, pans, cutlery, silverware, can openers, spatulas, measuring cups, peelers |
Laxatives Fiber drinks, tablets, suppositories |
Light bulbs Assorted sizes, colors, brightness for common house lights |
Lip cosmetics Lipstick, lip gloss, lip treatments |
Skin moisturizers Facial therapy lotions, masks, anti-acne creams, pore cleansers, treatments |
Nail cosmetics Nail polish, lacquer, enamel, remover |
Office and school paper (computer/notebooks, pads etc.) writing (pens, pencils), color (markers, crayons, permanent), office supplies (tape, paper clips, post-its) |
Oral hygiene Toothpaste, non-powered toothbrushes, floss, mouthwash, treatments for gums/teeth |
Printer ink refills Inkjet printer replacement cartridges (for most common household printers) |
Shaving and grooming Razors, razor cartridges/refills, shaving creams, aftershave and pre-shave lotions |
Sinus and allergy Antihistamines, decongestants (all but those containing pseudoephedrine) |
Toys and games All toys, any games (cards, board) |
Underwear and Hosiery Men’s, women’s underwear, socks. Pantyhose |
Vitamins and supplements All non-FDA approved—vitamins, supplements. Includes sexual enhancement drugs |
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Smith, B.T. Understanding shoplifting of fast-moving consumer goods: an application of the CRAVED model. Secur J 31, 428–450 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41284-017-0108-z
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41284-017-0108-z