Abstract
This article analyzes factors which explain support for the representative model and its two main alternatives: direct democracy and technocracy. It discusses the role played by two understudied explanatory factors: perceptions relating to the personal qualities of the different actors involved in decision-making (i.e. representatives, citizens and experts) and electoral support for mainstream parties (PSOE and PP) and new parties (Ciudadanos and Podemos). We rely on two Spanish surveys from 2011 and 2015. The results show that both perceived qualities and party preferences are linked to support for the three decision-making models. The emergence of new parties in 2015 has reshaped the connection between party choice and process preferences and has made this relationship stronger.
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Notes
Throughout this article, we use interchangeably the concepts of participation and direct democracy as well as technocrats and experts for referring to these alternative or complementary models, despite not necessarily being the same in the reality.
In this stealth model, empathetic and non-selfish politicians would make decisions in collaboration with independent experts or successful entrepreneurs. Citizen direct involvement would not be necessary.
For more technical details, see:https://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2860_2879/2860/Ft2860.pdf.
Andalusia /rest of Spain: PSOE = 34.5/30; PP = 18/21; IU = 5/3. In addition, correlations between dependent and independent variables go on the same direction: when they are significant in both samples, the correlation is always in the same direction for each pair of variables.
Podemos was created in 2014, obtaining five representatives (7.98% of votes) in the European elections of that year. In 2015, Podemos presented candidacies in coalition with other political forces like IU (different coalitions were made in different local contexts), obtaining 134 representatives in regional parliaments (including 15 in Andalusia) and 42 members of national parliament (12.67%). Ciudadanos was launched in 2006 in Catalonia. At national level, Ciudadanos presented a candidature for the 2008 national election (obtaining 0.18%). Ciudadanos’ extension outside Catalonia accelerated in the 2014 European elections with two representatives (3.16%), and in 2015 with 1,527 representatives in local elections, 93 representatives in regional parliaments (including 9 in Andalusia) and 40 representatives in national government (13.94%).
A higher polarization appears in 2015 for the three democratic models, especially in the lowest values.
These corresponded to the National General Elections of 2008 in one case and regional elections of 2015 in the other. Voting for the PP and the PSOE was available in both cases. Ciudadanos only appears in 2015. In 2011 IU appears, while in 2015, we grouped together the voters of Podemos and IU, which have similar attitudes, using the label of the coalition they formed later that same year (UP; Unidos Podemos). We use Podemos to refer both Podemos and Unidos Podemos.
In general, literature on presidential popularity includes a capacity factor which incorporates the level of information (Mondak 1995; Cwalina and Falkowski 2016). However, to provide a better justification about the comparability between “well-informed” in 2011 and “be capable” in 2015, we made some checks (not shown). We compared the effect of “citizens are capable” and “people are not enough informed to make important political decisions.” Results show a similar behavior of these explanatory factors in relation to our dependent variables: support for referendums (positive and significant association, in both cases); support for experts (negative association, not significant, in both) and support for politicians (positive association, in both, only significant for capacity).
Some changing relationships include the disappearance of the (negative) relationship between left and technocracy or the appearing relationship between age and support to the direct democratic mode.
For example, Rapeli (2016) has used a single 11-point scale to measure support for politicians (0) and experts (10).
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Fernández-Martínez, J.L., Alarcón Pérez, P. & Font Fábregas, J. What drives process preferences? The role of perceived qualities of policymakers and party preferences. Acta Polit 57, 117–142 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41269-020-00176-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41269-020-00176-2