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The economic and fiscal consequences of immigration: highlights from the National Academies report

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Abstract

The National Academies report The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration (Blau and Mackie 2017) summarizes recent trends in immigration numbers and characteristics, summarizes the theory of the impact of immigration on the economy, reaches consensus on central empirical issues, and performs original research on the impact of immigration on federal, state and local budgets. Immigrants are increasingly numerous and educated; increase GDP and GDP growth; have little effect on average native wages and employment; but create both winners and losers among natives. The long-term fiscal impact is positive at the federal level, though negative at the state level due to the costs of educating immigrant children.

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Fig. 1

Source Analysis of 1970, 1980, 1990 and 2000 Decennial Census data, and 2010–2012 ACS data

Fig. 2

Source Data are from the 2011–2013 March Current Population Surveys

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Notes

  1. One of the authors (Blau) chaired the panel while the other (Hunt) was a panel member; see the Appendix for a full list of participants.

  2. https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/frequently-requested-statistics-immigrants-and-immigration-united-states, accessed 26 April 2019.

References

  • Francine D. Blau and Christopher Mackie, eds. 2017. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/23550.

  • James P. Smith and Barry Edmonston, eds. 1997. The New Americans: Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration. National Research Council. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/5779.

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Correspondence to Jennifer Hunt.

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Appendix: Panel members, consultants and staff for the NRC report

Appendix: Panel members, consultants and staff for the NRC report

1.1 Panel members

Francine D. Blau (Chair), Department of Economics, Cornell University

Michael Ben-Gad, Department of Economics, City University London

George J. Borjas, Malcolm Wiener Center for Social Policy, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University

Christian Dustmann, Department of Economics, University College London

Barry Edmonston, Department of Sociology, University of Victoria, BC

Isaac Ehrlich, Department of Economics, University at Buffalo, State University of New York

Charles Hirschman, Department of Sociology, University of Washington

Jennifer Hunt, Department of Economics, Rutgers University

Dowell Myers, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California

Pia M. Orrenius, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, TX

Jeffrey S. Passel, Senior Demographer, Pew Research Center, Washington, DC

Kim Rueben, Tax Policy Center, Urban Institute, Washington, DC

Marta Tienda, Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University

Yu Xie, Princeton Institute of International and Regional Studies, Princeton University

1.2 Consultants to the panel

Gretchen Donehower, University of California at Berkeley

Ryan Edwards, Queens College, City University of New York

Sarah Gault, Urban Institute

Julia Gelatt, Urban Institute

1.3 Staff

Christopher Mackie, Study Director

Constance F. Citro, CNSTAT Director

Esha Sinha, Associate Program Officer

Anthony S. Mann, Program Coordinator

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Blau, F.D., Hunt, J. The economic and fiscal consequences of immigration: highlights from the National Academies report. Bus Econ 54, 173–176 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1057/s11369-019-00132-9

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