Skip to main content

Revenue management and the railway conundrum – The consequences of reference prices in passenger railway transport practice

Abstract

While railway transport appears well suited to revenue management (RM), establishing it in practice appears difficult. To explain this, we investigate the long-term consequences of repeated transactions and reference pricing. We consider the implications of reference pricing based on an agent-based simulation of passenger railway RM. The model is empirically calibrated using data provided by a European long-distance railway operator. On the long term, reducing fares to induce additional demand can foil revenue gains when customers learn and communicate reference prices. Accordingly, knowing customers’ tendency to build reference prices becomes crucial.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3

References

  • Arthur, W.B. (1994) Inductive reasoning and bounded rationality. The American Economic Review 84 (2): 406–411.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cleophas, C. (2012) Multi-agent modelling for revenue management. Journal of Revenue & Pricing Management 11 (2): 240–242.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gilbert, G.N. (2008) Agent-Based Models. Los Angeles, CA: Sage Publications.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Gilbert, G.N. and Troitzsch, K.G. (2005) Simulation for the Social Scientist. 2nd edn. Maidenhead, UK: Open University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Helson, H. (1964) Adaptation-Level Theory. Hope & Row, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ihrig, M. and Troitzsch, K.G. (2013) An extended research framework for the simulation era. In Proceedings of the Emerging M&S Applications in Industry & Academia/Modeling and Humanities Symposium (p. 12). Society for Computer Simulation International.

  • Jerath, K., Netessine, S. and Veeraraghavan, S.K. (2010) Revenue management with strategic customers: Last-minute selling and opaque selling. Management Science 56 (3): 430–448.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979) Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society. 263–291.

  • Kellermann, N. (2014) Searching a Path out of Distance Fares. Cologne,Germany: Kölner Wissenschaftsverlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lorscheid, I., Heine, B.-O. and Meyer, M. (2012) Opening the ‘black box’ of simulations: Increased transparency and effective communication through the systematic design of experiments. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 18 (1): 22–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, R.E. (1976) Econometric policy evaluation: A critique. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1(0), 19–46.

  • Mazumdar, T., Raj, S.P. and Sinha, I. (2005) Reference price research: Review and propositions. Journal of Marketing 69 (4): 84–102.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nasiry, J. and Popescu, I. (2011) Dynamic pricing with loss-averse consumers and peak-end anchoring. Operations Research 59 (6): 1361–1368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Popescu, I. and Wu, Y. (2007) Dynamic pricing strategies with reference effects. Operations Research 55 (3): 413–429.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rand, W. and Rust, R.T. (2011) Agent-based modeling in marketing: Guidelines for rigor. International Journal of Research in Marketing 28 (3): 181–193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sato, K. and Sawaki, K. (2012) Dynamic pricing of high-speed rail with transport competition. Journal of Revenue & Pricing Management 11 (5): 548–559.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Talluri, K.T. and van Ryzin, G. (2005) The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management. 1st edn. International series in operations research & management science:Vol. 68, New York: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thaler, R. (1985) Mental accounting and consumer choice. Marketing Science 4 (3): 199–214.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Von Massow, M. and Hassini, E. (2013) Pricing strategy in the presence of reference prices with thresholds. Journal of Revenue & Pricing Management 12 (4): 339–359.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yeoman, I. (2013) To discount or not, that is the question. Journal of Revenue & Pricing Management 12 (3): 205–206.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Catherine Cleophas.

Additional information

1has studied business administration at Freie Universität Berlin. After working for Deutsche Bahn AG, he was granted a fellowship from the Path Dependency Research Centre at Freie Universität Berlin. There he finished his PhD thesis on path-dependent railway pricing in 2014. His research interests include the management of network organizations in general and the strategic sales management of transport operators in particular.

2heads the research group Advanced Analytics at RWTH Aachen University. She has pursued research on diverse aspects of revenue management since her postgraduate studies at the International Graduate School of Dynamic Intelligent Systems in Paderborn. During a stint in the industry, she worked as a revenue management consultant for Deutsche Lufthansa. She is particularly interested in applications of simulation and data analytics in revenue management, particularly with regard to customer and analyst behaviour.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kellermann, N., Cleophas, C. Revenue management and the railway conundrum – The consequences of reference prices in passenger railway transport practice. J Revenue Pricing Manag 14, 155–165 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1057/rpm.2015.9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/rpm.2015.9

Keywords

  • reference prices
  • railway revenue management
  • Prospect Theory
  • learning
  • customer behaviour
  • simulation