Abstract
This paper examines situations in which forecasters are asked to provide forecasts that are suboptimal in regards to accuracy. The paper looks at the impact on forecasters when they are asked to provide these less-than-accurate forecasts. Not providing the most accurate forecast is an ethical issue for some forecasters. The paper suggests a solution for forecasters who are asked to provide less accurate forecasts.
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Geurts, M. Rationale for choosing a less accurate forecast. J Target Meas Anal Mark 9, 185–189 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jt.5740014
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jt.5740014