We set out below the main results of the study in Table 4. Contrary to what might ordinarily be expected, cost was not the major barrier to access to the NHIS scheme. The percentage recorded for cost was 11 per cent whereas over 36 per cent of the respondents reported not having heard of the NHIS as the reason for not enrolling in the scheme. Another 14 per cent prefer the existing arrangement. This is possibly indicative that either the government is not doing enough publicity or companies are not complying with the directive to enroll their employees in the NHIS scheme.
Table 4 Characteristics of Lagos NHIS subscribers (N=5,126) The decision of the government to direct its initial effort at the formal sector seems to be well informed as the survey revealed a gradual but sure rate of acceptance of the new scheme. The percentage of respondents who use the NHIS option increased from 4.5 per cent in 2000 and 2003 to 13.6 per cent in 2004, 27.6 per cent in 2005 and 31.6 per cent in 2006.
Among those who were not participating in the NHIS, about half of the total respondents (48.1 per cent) used public hospitals/dispensaries. In Lagos State where successive governments proclaim welfarist policies of free education, free health care services in election campaigns, and where the majority of the employees are civil servants, this tendency is quite understandable. However another high percentage, 44.3 per cent, reported that they made use of private hospitals. Given the relative high cost of service in the private hospitals, the regulator may have to examine the practice in the private sector to know what makes these hospitals attractive to patients and in order to adopt such practices in the NHIS scheme.
Among the remaining respondents, 2.8 per cent use drug stores while 4.8 per cent alluded to other factors as reasons for not enrolling in NHIS. In this last group, there was a preponderance of answers like “God is my healer”, “God is my doctor”. This is in tandem with the findings of the World Bank,Footnote 26 which observed that approved government health care providers tend to overlook “spiritual” aspects of illness in their provision. The outcome is not surprising given the widespread phenomenon of faith clinics in Lagos.
More than half of the respondents (56.5 per cent) did not use health care providers outside those in the network of the HMO they registered for. This is probably a carry-over from the previous practice in which organizations retain a doctor for the health care of their employees. It is not inconceivable that the personnel office would not settle the bill of those who use health care providers outside those in the network of the HMO selected by an organization.
About 60 per cent of the respondents reported that they encountered problems with their health care providers. A large proportion (37.8 per cent) put the blame on long queues. Some, 19 per cent, were not pleased with the poor reception received from unfriendly health workers, while 14.3 per cent thought that the drugs that were dispensed were expensive. The position of these respondents is better appreciated when considered against the backdrop that many people use drugstores and think they have a good idea of the cost of drugs. A high percentage (18.1 per cent) put the problem on inefficient treatment while those who thought the problem is with unclean environment were 4.8 per cent.
Respondents’ reactions to the problems encountered with their HMO/health care provider vary. About a third of the respondents (27 per cent) reported that in spite of observed inefficiency they continued to use particular HMOs. This may be either because the HMO is not prepared to change the offending provider or because other providers are too distant from the patient. However, 42.3 per cent of the respondents switched to other providers within the network while 11.5 per cent resorted to self-medication. Other unspecified reasons sum up to 19 per cent. One half of the total number of respondents (50 per cent) claimed that they spent about N1,000 (about U.S.$7.6) monthly out-of-pocket on health care. Those who spent N2,000 (about U.S.$15) were 16.7 per cent. The respondents who reported spending N15,000 (about U.S.$115) or more out-of-pocket were 33.4 per cent.
That a majority of the respondents (66.7 per cent) state that they spend less than N2,000 (about U.S.$15) per month out-of-pocket would, considering the pay structure in Nigeria, look plausible. The national minimum wage is only N5,500 (about U.S.$42) per month and the figures for the states are even lower. It also looks reasonable because for ailments that require only a few naira, even supposedly better informed employees would prefer to go to neighbourhood drugstores than go and queue in a government hospital. Other problems reported include lack of competent doctors. This tends to support the fear that in order to maximize profit some of the providers might employ less expensive and therefore less experienced doctors in order to maximize their profit.
The long queues observable in the operation of the scheme have wide implications for time management. When workers spend a disproportionate amount of time trying to get treated at the HMOs a number of man-hours are lost. In the case of poor reception or unfriendly attitude of health care workers, there is a need to train the health workers, especially in the light of the business approach of the NHIS scheme, that the customer is king and that without them there is no employment. In the health sector, there are more than enough reasons for this. The high percentage of those who switch from one health care provider to another has personnel policy implications and raises some questions. How often can an employee change health care providers within the same HMO network? What are the criteria to look for in an HMO in order to prevent frequent switches? What are the regulatory implications?
Next, we examine how socio-economic factors affect the use of NHIS and, hence, how they help to predict how these factors either facilitate or hinder usage of NHIS by fitting a logistic model to the data.
Table 5 reports the result of the two logistic models at the 95 per cent significance level. It is particularly instructive to note that except for income less than N100,000 (about U.S.$770) all the factors are highly significant at the 99 per cent level. This is indicative of a positive relationship between the independent variables and the explanatory variable. This implies that gender, age, income group and the occupation of an employee all have an influence on the likelihood of the participation of an employee in the NHIS scheme.
Table 5 Logistic regression models predicting participation in NHIS among employees in the formal sector in Lagos These characteristics are true for both Model 1 and Model 2. More specifically, the odds ratio for income below N500,000, age and occupation are all greater than 1. This suggests that those in the group 26–40 are 1.2 times more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those in the other age brackets. At the 99 per cent confidence level (Model 2), those whose occupation is in the civil service are 3.189 times more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those in other occupations. This is clear from the fact that they are obligated to do so.
Employees who are married are 4.528 times more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those who are not married. Employees with a degree are 1.518 more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those who are not as well educated. Model 1 shows that those earning between N240,000 and 500,000 (between U.S.$1846 and U.S.$3846) are 2.489 times more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those in the other income groups. In model 2, the ratio is even higher as it shows that those earning between N240,000 and N500,000 are 5.784 times more likely to subscribe to NHIS than those in the other income groups
A comparison of the log likelihood value for the two models shows that Model 2 has a lower magnitude for the log likelihood. It is therefore a better fit. Also from Model 2 we see that married, educated employees who are in the lower income group (less than N500,000) have a high tendency to subscribe to NHIS. This contrasts with the attitude of married and educated employees in the higher income brackets (above N500,000), who presumably often have wider options, including the use of fee-for-service private hospitals and foreign treatment. Although the R2 suggests that only about 30 per cent (Model 2) of the subscription to NHIS is explained by the respective logistic models, this points to the direction for future research as it is not unlikely that “spiritual” aspects – religious beliefs and myths – tend to influence subscription to NHIS to a greater extent than participants in the survey have volunteered.