French popularity functions: Different measures, different determinants?
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French popularity functions are under-studied, at least when as compared to vote functions. After a first wave of studies conducted in the wake of Lafay’s pioneering work, scholarly works on French popularity functions have been few and far between in the last two decades. And this, despite the fact that public opinion data on French popularity have been collected systematically for a long time. What is more, all the popularity function work conducted to date has made use of either the IFOP measure of satisfaction or the Sofres confidence measure as its dependent variable. In this article we build a popularity function for the French executive that compares results obtained with each of these two related, but somewhat different, monthly measures of presidential popularity. We do this comparison for the time period where the two popularity measures overlap (1978–2012). The results indicate that both survey measures are indeed similar but different.
Keywordspresidential popularity popularity functions measurement French politics time series analysis
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