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Arson in an urban setting: a multi-event near repeat chain analysis in Flint, Michigan

  • Brandon Turchan
  • Jonathan A. GrubbEmail author
  • Jesenia M. Pizarro
  • Edmund F. McGarrell
Original Article

Abstract

A growing body of literature has recently begun to examine spatiotemporal nuances of arson. However, criminal justice research has minimally investigated how an arson event might serve as an initiator for a string of arsons. To rectify this gap, the current study conducted a near repeat analysis incorporating multiple-event near repeat chains to identify possible spatiotemporal patterns for arson in Flint, Michigan. Findings underscore that increased risk of repeat arson victimization was most pronounced for residential arsons. Results for near repeat chains indicate an average mean risk of roughly 5 days but for certain chains risk lasted for up to 2 months. Discussion of implications, limitations, and future research are also provided.

Keywords

Arson Near repeat victimization Repeat victimization Spatiotemporal analysis Multiple-event chains 

Notes

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Bureau of Justice Assistance, US Department of Justice, and Michigan Youth Violence Prevention Center funded by the Center for Disease Control (2014-AJ-BX-0011).

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Limited 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Brandon Turchan
    • 1
    • 2
  • Jonathan A. Grubb
    • 3
    Email author
  • Jesenia M. Pizarro
    • 4
  • Edmund F. McGarrell
    • 5
  1. 1.School of Criminal JusticeRutgers UniversityNewarkUSA
  2. 2.School of Criminology and Criminal JusticeNortheastern UniversityBostonUSA
  3. 3.Department of Criminal Justice & CriminologyGeorgia Southern UniversityStatesboroUSA
  4. 4.School of Criminology & Criminal JusticeArizona State UniversityPhoenixUSA
  5. 5.School of Criminal JusticeMichigan State UniversityEast LansingUSA

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