Risk Management

, Volume 14, Issue 2, pp 109–125 | Cite as

An exploration of causal factors in unintentional dwelling fires

  • Mark J Taylor
  • Emma Higgins
  • Paulo JG Lisboa
  • Vince Kwasnica
Original Article


We examine the causal factors involved in unintentional dwelling fire incidents within the Merseyside area of the North West region of the United Kingdom. The approach of all-subsets multiple linear regression was used to develop an unintentional dwelling fire risk model for the region. The risk model was based on data obtained from UK government agencies relating to causal factors identified by earlier published studies. In the region studied, mental health problems, disability and residents living alone were the most significant factors associated with unintentional dwelling fire fatalities. However, in a separate model of the incidence of unintentional dwelling fires within the region, binge drinking and smoking were additional statistically significant factors.


fire prevention risk modelling 


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Copyright information

© Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Ltd 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mark J Taylor
    • 1
  • Emma Higgins
    • 1
  • Paulo JG Lisboa
    • 1
  • Vince Kwasnica
    • 1
  1. 1.School of Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Liverpool John Moores UniversityLiverpoolUK

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