Since 1984, the unknown factor in French political life has been the support for the National Front. More than ever, on April 21, 2002, the leader of the FN, Jean-Marie Le Pen demonstrated. In our research note, we try to explain the way of reducing uncertainty in building and forecasting a FN vote function (pooled time series) from decentralized economic and political data. Undeniably, the support for the FN varies across regions in a more subtle way than might have been expected.
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Jérôme, B., Jérôme-Speziari, V. A Le Pen Vote Function for the 2002 Presidential Election: A Way to Reduce Uncertainty. Fr Polit 1, 247–251 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200036
- election forecasting
- economic voting
- National Front