Exchange Rate Implications of Reserve Changes: How Non-EZ European Countries Fared during the Great Recession
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Abstract
The relationships between exchange rates, capital controls and foreign reserves during the financial crisis suggest that reserve management plays a much more central role than has typically been emphasized in international finance models. Reserves seem to be especially important for non-EZ European countries, not only for those with currencies in the ERM II, but also for those European countries in intermediate regimes that hope to deter currency market pressure, and in so doing help to mitigate trilemma trade-offs.
Keywords
foreign exchange reserves global financial crisis exchange market pressureJEL Classifications
F32 F41Notes
Acknowledgements
This paper was presented at the 19th Dubrovnik Economic Conference in June 2013. I am grateful to my discussant, Randy Filer, as well as many of the conference participants for very useful comments and suggestions that have greatly improved the paper. All remaining errors are my own.
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