Scientific progress depends on researchers updating their beliefs when new evidence arises. McDiarmid and colleagues show that psychologists adjust their beliefs after seeing new results from a replication project. While updating is less than a Bayesian model would justify, it is not undermined by personal investment.
References
Open Science Collaboration. Science 349, aac4716 (2015).
Ioannidis, J. P. PLoS Med. 2, e124 (2005).
Simmons, J. P., Nelson, L. D. & Simonsohn, U. Psychol. Sci. 22, 1359–1366 (2011).
O’Connor, C. & Weatherall, J. O. Eur. J. Philos. Sci. 8, 855–875 (2018).
McDiarmid, A. Nat. Hum. Behav. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01220-7 (2021).
Fortunato, S. et al. Science 359, eaao0185 (2018).
Wasserstein, R. L., Schirm, A. L. & Lazar, N. A. Am. Stat. 73, 1–19 (2019).
Benjamin, D. J. et al. Nat. Hum. Behav. 2, 6–10 (2018).
Uhlmann, E. L. et al. Perspect. Psychol. Sci. 14, 711–733 (2019).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gordon, M., Pfeiffer, T. Can scientists change their minds?. Nat Hum Behav 5, 1598–1599 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01201-w
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01201-w
- Springer Nature Limited