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Projection and prediction

Local noise and global confidence

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Analyses of changes in climate extremes at the local scale are affected by large uncertainties related to climate variability. Now research finds that integration over larger areas reveals consistent intensification of heat and precipitation extremes in projections of the near future.

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Figure 1: Significant extreme temperature and precipitation events that occurred in 2012.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Markus G. Donat is at the ARC Centre of Excellence in Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, News South Wales 2052, Australia,

    Markus G. Donat

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  1. Markus G. Donat
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Correspondence to Markus G. Donat.

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Donat, M. Local noise and global confidence. Nature Clim Change 3, 1018–1019 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2061

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