Climate models are usually tuned to match observations. A new approach, in which the models are detuned instead, increases our confidence in projections of future warming.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
References
Houghton, J. T. et al. (eds) Climate Change 2001: The Science of Climate Change (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001).
Murphy, J. M. et al. Nature 430, 768–772 (2004).
Saltzmann, B. Dynamical Paleoclimatology (Academic, London, 2002).
Stott, P. A. & Kettleborough, J. A. Nature 416, 723–726 (2002).
Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. & Stouffer, R. J. J. Clim. 15, 124–130 (2002).
Wild, M., Ohmura, A., Gilgen, H., Morcrette, J. J. & Slingo, J. J. Clim. 14, 3227–3239 (2001).
Philipona, R., Dürr, B., Marty, C., Ohmura, A. & Wild, M. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, L03202 (2004).
Knutti, R., Stocker, T. F., Joos, F. & Plattner, G.-K. Nature 416, 719–723 (2002).
Cubasch, U. et al. in Climate Change 2001: The Science of Climate Change (eds Houghton, J. T. et al.) 525–582 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001).
Zwiers, F. W. Nature 416, 690–691 (2002).
Covey, C. et al. Glob. Planet. Change 37, 103–133 (2003).
Allen, M. R. & Stainforth, D. A. Nature 419, 228 (2002).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Stocker, T. Models change their tune. Nature 430, 737–738 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1038/430737a
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/430737a
- Springer Nature Limited
This article is cited by
-
Effect of parameter change upon the extra-tropical atmospheric variability
Climate Dynamics (2012)
-
Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles
Climate Dynamics (2011)
-
Climate change: a profile of US climate scientists’ perspectives
Climatic Change (2010)
-
Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: a critical review of the literature
Climatic Change (2009)