Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Climate change

The 20-year forecast

  • News & Views
  • Published:

From Nature

View current issue Submit your manuscript

Policy-makers need short-term climate predictions to develop strategies for coping with climate change over the typical two-decade planning horizon. Two new studies increase our confidence in these predictions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Figure 1: A warmer world. Shown here are projected changes in surface air temperature, relative to 1990–2000, for the decade 2020–30.

References

  1. Houghton, J. T. et al. (eds) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001).

  2. Levitus, S. et al. Science 292, 267–270 (2001).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Knutti, R., Stocker, T. F., Joos, F. & Plattner, G.-K Nature 416, 719–723 (2002).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Stott, P. A. & Kettleborough, J. A. Nature 416, 723–726 (2002).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. Wigley, T. M. L. & Raper, S. C. B. Science 293, 451–454 (2001).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Allen, M. R., Stott, P. A., Schnur, R., Delworth, T. & Mitchell, J. F. B. Nature 407, 617–620 (2000).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. Tett, S. F. B., Stott, P. A., Allen, M. R., Ingram, W. J. & Mitchell, J. F. B. Nature 399, 569–572 (1999).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Stott, P. A. et al. Clim. Dyn. 17, 1–21 (2001).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. Claussen, M. et al. Clim. Dyn. 18, 579–586 (2002).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Forest, C. E., Stone, P. H., Sokolov, A. P., Allen, M. R. & Webster, M. D. Science 295, 113–117 (2002).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. Andronova, N. & Schlesinger, M. E. J. Geophys. Res. 106, 22605–22612 (2001).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  12. Nakicenovic, N. & Swart, R. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000).

  13. Cox, P. N., Betts, R. A., Jones, C. D., Spall, S. A. & Totterdell, I. J. Nature 408, 184–187 (2000).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Broecker, W. S. Science 278, 1582–1588 (1997).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  15. Flato, G. M. & Boer, G. J. B. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 195–198 (2001).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Francis W. Zwiers.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zwiers, F. The 20-year forecast. Nature 416, 690–691 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1038/416690a

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/416690a

  • Springer Nature Limited

This article is cited by

Navigation