Abstract
IF he were consistent, de Moivre would not have accepted 5/12 as the probability in Dr. Jeffrey's problem. (Two boxes, one containing 1 white and 2 black balls, the other 1 white and 1 black. Choose a box; then draw a ball; what is the probability of drawing white ? NATURE, Feb. 11.) For, according to his definition, the statement that the probability is 5/12 must mean that there are 12n, different possible cases, of which 5n are favourable, n being an integer. That simply is not true.
Similar content being viewed by others
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
CAMPBELL, N. Frequency Interpretations in Probability. Nature 143, 601–602 (1939). https://doi.org/10.1038/143601c0
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/143601c0
- Springer Nature Limited