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Climate System Modeling in the Framework of the Tolerable Windows Approach: The ICLIPS Climate Model

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Abstract

The computational burden associated with applications of theTolerable Windows Approach (TWA) considerably exceeds that oftraditional integrated assessments of global climate change. Aspart of the ICLIPS (Integrated Assessment of Climate ProtectionStrategies) project, a computationally efficient climate model hasbeen developed that can be included in integrated assessmentmodels of any kind. The ICLIPS climate model (ICM) is implementedin GAMS. It is driven by anthropogenic emissions of CO2,CH4, N2O, halocarbons, SF6, andSO2. Theoutput includes transient patterns of near-surface airtemperature, total column-integrated cloud cover fraction,precipitation, humidity, and global mean sea-level rise. Thecarbon cycle module explicitly treats the nonlinear sea watercarbon chemistry and the nonlinear CO2 fertilized biosphereuptake. Patterns of the impact-relevant climate variables arederived form empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis andscaled by the principal component of temperature change. Theevolution of the latter is derived from a box-model-typedifferential analogue to its impulse response function convolutionintegral. We present a description of the ICM components and someresults to demonstrate the model's applicability in the TWA setting.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute for Energy Engineering, Technical University of Berlin, Marchstr. 18, D-10587, Berlin, Germany

    Thomas Bruckner

  2. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraß e 55, D-20146, Hamburg, Germany

    Georg Hooss & Klaus Hasselmann

  3. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg, D-14473, Potsdam, Germany

    Hans-Martin Füssel

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  1. Thomas Bruckner
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  2. Georg Hooss
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  3. Hans-Martin Füssel
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  4. Klaus Hasselmann
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Bruckner, T., Hooss, G., Füssel, HM. et al. Climate System Modeling in the Framework of the Tolerable Windows Approach: The ICLIPS Climate Model. Climatic Change 56, 119–137 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021300924356

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