Abstract
Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) data, this article estimates a model of teenage childbearing. The model recognizes that teenage childbearing is conditional on earlier sexual activity and that such activity is undertaken by only a portion of the female teenage population. Consequently, rather than estimate a single equation for birth probability as much past research has done, a bivariate probit model with selectivity correction is estimated to account for the sequential nature of the process. An important result of this research suggests that AFDC benefits play a role in the decision to become sexually active as well as to become a teenage parent.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Acs, G. (1995). The impact of welfare on young women's childbearing decisions. Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Afxentiou, D., & Hawley, C. B. (1992). An analysis of welfare duration of teenage mothers. Atlantic Economic Society Best Papers Proceedings, 2, 200–204.
An, C., Haveman, R., & Wolfe, B. (1993). Teen out-of-wedlock births and welfare receipt: The role of childhood events and economic circumstances. Review of Economics and Statistics, 75, 195–208.
Antel, J. (1992). The intergenerational transfer of welfare dependency: Some statistical evidence. Review of Economics and Statistics, 74, 467–473.
Becker, G. S. (1981). A treatise on the family. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Boehnen, E., & Corbett, T. (1996). Welfare waivers: Some salient trends. Focus, 18, 34–37.
Boyer, D., & Fine, D. (1992). Sexual abuse as a factor in adolescent pregnancy and child maltreatment. Family Planning Perspectives, 24, 4–11.
Butler, J. R., & Burton, L. M. (1990). Rethinking teenage childbearing: Is sexual abuse a missing link? Family Relations, 39, 73–80.
Chernick, H., & Reschovsky, A. (1996). State responses to block grants: Will the social safety net survive? Focus, 18, 25–29.
Duncan, G. J., & Hoffman, S. D. (1990). Welfare benefits, economic opportunities, and out-of-wedlock births among black teenage girls. Demography, 27, 519–535.
Ellwood, D. T., & Bane, M. J. (1985). The impact of AFDC on family structure and living arrangements. Research in Labor Economics, 7, 137–207.
Furstenberg, F. F., Jr., & Teitler, J. O. (1994). Reconsidering the effects of marital disruption: What happens to children of divorce in early adulthood? Journal of Family Issues, 15, 173–190.
Greene, W. H. (1987-92). LIMDEP user's manual and reference guide. Version 6.0. New York: Econometric Software.
Hatherington, E. M. (1992). Effects of father absence on personality development in adolescent daughters. Developmental Psychology, 7, 313–326.
Heckman, J. (1979). Sample bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–161.
Hofferth, S. L. (1987). Factors affecting initiation of sexual intercourse. In C. D. Hayes (Ed.), Risking the future: Adolescent sexuality, pregnancy, and childbearing (Vol. II, pp. 7–35). Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
Kahn, J. R., & Anderson, K. E. (1992). Intergenerational patterns of teenage fertility. Demography, 29, 39–57.
Leibowitz, A., Eisen, M., & Chow, W. (1986). An economic model of teenage pregnancy decision-making. Demography, 23, 67–77.
Lundberg, S., & Plotnick, R. D. (1995). Adolescent premarital childbearing: Do economic incentives matter? Journal of Labor Economics, 13, 177–200.
McLanahan, S., & Bumpass, L. (1988). Intergenerational consequences of family disruption. American Journal of Sociology, 94, 130–152.
Moore, K. A., & Burt, M. (1982). Private crisis, public cost: Policy perspectives on teenage childbearing. Washington DC: Urban Institute Press.
Moore, K. A., & Caldwell, S. B. (1977). The effect of government policies on out-of-wedlock sex and pregnancy. Family Planning Perspectives, 9, 164–169.
Moore, K. A., Morrison, D. R., & Glei, D. A. (1995). Welfare and adolescent sex: The effects of family history, benefit levels, and community context. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 16, 207–237.
Plotnick, R. (1990). Welfare and out-of-wedlock childbearing: Evidence from the 1980s. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 52, 735–746.
Reschovsky, J., & Gerner, J. (1991). Contraceptive choice among teenagers: A multivariate analysis. Lifestyles: Family and Economic Issues, 12, 171–191.
Stevans, L. K. (1996). Aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) and non-marital births in the USA: An examination of causality. Applied Economics, 28, 417–427.
Van de Ven, W., & Praag, B. van. (1981). The demand for deductibles in private health insurance: A probit model with sample selection. Journal of Econometrics, 17, 229–252.
Wilson, W. J. (1987). The truly disadvantaged: The inner city, the underclass, and public policy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Afxentiou, D., Hawley, C.B. Explaining Female Teenagers' Sexual Behavior and Outcomes: A Bivariate Probit Analysis with Selectivity Correction. Journal of Family and Economic Issues 18, 91–106 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024925418314
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024925418314