Abstract
One aspect of the multifaceted controversy on value change in advanced industrial societies concerns the measurement of values. Analyses of 1976–86 Euro-Barometer data have indicated that responses to the four-item “materialist-postmaterialist” values index are very sensitive to current economic conditions, especially inflation and unemployment rates and, hence, much of the recorded increase in postmaterialism in eight Western European countries since the mid-1970s is artifactual. Although it has been claimed these findings disappear if more recent data are considered, time series analyses reveal that responses to the values measure are strongly affected by prevailing economic conditions throughout the entire 1976–92 period. These aggregate-level findings are buttressed by individual-level analyses of 1989 Euro-Barometer data.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Abramson, Paul R., Susan Ellis, and Ronald Inglehart (1995). Research in Context: Measuring Value Change. Unpublished paper, Department of Political Science, Michigan State University.
Abramson, Paul R., and Ronald Inglehart (1992). Generational replacement and value change in eight West European societies. British Journal of Political Science 22: 183-228.
Abramson, Paul R., and Ronald Inglehart (1994). Education, security, and post-materialism: A comment on Duch and Taylor's “Postmaterialism and the Economic Condition.” American Journal of Political Science 38: 797-814.
Abramson, Paul R., and Ronald Inglehart (1995). Value Change in Global Perspective. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Almond, Gabriel, and Sidney Verba (1963). The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Anderson, Christopher (1995). Blaming the Government: Citizens and the Economy in Five European Democracies. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.
Bean, Charles R. (1994). European unemployment: A survey. Journal of Economic Literature 32: 573-619.
Beck, Nathaniel, and Jonathan N. Katz (1995). What to do (and not to do) with time-series cross-section data in comparative politics. American Political Science Review 89: 634-647.
Beck, Nathaniel, Jonathan N. Katz, R. Michael Alvarez, Geoffrey Garrett, and Peter Lange (1993). Government partisanship, labor organization, and macroeconomic performance: A corrigendum. American Political Science Review 87: 945-948.
Boeltken, Ferdinand, and Wolfgang Jagodzinski (1985). In an environment of insecurity: Postmaterialism in the European Community, 1970–1980. Comparative Political Studies 17: 453-484.
Buse, A. (1973). Goodness of fit in generalized least squares estimation. American Statistician 27: 106-108.
Clarke, Harold D., and Nitish Dutt (1991). Measuring value change in Western industrialized societies: The impact of unemployment. American Political Science Review 85: 905-920.
Cox, D. R. (1961). Tests of separate families of hypotheses. Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium, vol. 1. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Davidson, R., and James G. MacKinnon (1981). Several tests for model specification in the presence of alternative hypotheses. Econometrica 49: 781-793.
Duch, Raymond M., and Michaell A. Taylor (1993). Postmaterialism and the economic condition. American Journal of Political Science 37: 747-779.
Duch, Raymond M., and Michaell A. Taylor (1994). A reply to Abramson and Inglehart's “Education, Security and Postmaterialism.” American Journal of Political Science 38: 815-824.
Engle, Robert F., and Clive W. J. Granger (1987). Cointegration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica 55: 251-276.
Fisher, G. R., and Michael McAleer (1981). Alternative procedures and associated tests of significance for non-nested hypotheses. Journal of Econometrics 16: 103-119.
Flanagan, Scott (1982a). Changing values in advanced industrial societies. Comparative Political Studies 14: 403-444.
Flanagan, Scott (1982b). Measuring value change in advanced industrial societies: A rejoinder to Inglehart. Comparative Political Studies 15: 99-128.
Godfrey, L. G., and M. Hashem Pesaran (1983). Tests of non-nested regression models: Small sample adjustments and Monte Carlo evidence. Journal of Econometrics 21: 113-154.
Gujarati, Damodar N. (1988). Basic Econometrics, 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Inglehart, Ronald (1971). The silent revolution in Europe: Intergenerational change in post-industrial societies. American Political Science Review 65: 991-1017.
Inglehart, Ronald (1977). The Silent Revolution: Changing Values and Political Styles Among Western Publics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Inglehart, Ronald (1985). Aggregate stability and individual-level flux in mass belief systems: The level of analysis paradox. American Political Science Review 79: 97-116.
Inglehart, Ronald (1990). Culture Shift in Advanced Industrial Society. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Inglehart, Ronald, and Paul R. Abramson (1994). Economic security and value change. American Political Science Review 88: 336-354.
Kmenta, Jan (1986). Elements of Econometrics, 2nd ed. New York: Macmillan.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (1988). Economics and Elections: The Major Western Democracies. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Long, J. Scott (1983). Confirmatory Factor Analysis: A Preface to LISREL. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications.
Mizon, Grayham E., and Jean-François Richard (1986). The encompassing principle and its application to non-nested hypotheses. Econometrica 54: 657-678.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (1993a). Main Economic Indicators Historical Statistics 1962–1991. Paris: OECD.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (1993b). Main Economic Indicators/Principal Indicateurs Economiques. Various Issues. Paris: OECD.
Reif, Karlheinz, and Melich, Anna (1993). Euro-Barometer 31A Codebook. Ann Arbor: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research.
Sniderman, Paul M. (1993). The new look in public opinion research. In Ada W. Finifter (ed.), Political Science: The State of the Discipline II. Washington, DC: American Political Science Association.
Sniderman, Paul M., Richard A. Brody, and Philip E. Tetlock (1991). Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Sniderman, Paul M., and Thomas Piazza (1993). The Scar of Race. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Stimson, James A. (1985). Regression in space and time: A statistical essay. American Journal of Political Science 29: 914-947.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Clarke, H.D., Dutt, N. & Rapkin, J. Conversations in Context: The (Mis)Measurement of Value Change in Advanced Industrial Societies. Political Behavior 19, 19–39 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024893622007
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024893622007