Abstract
In this paper, we take a fresh look at the structure of sociopolitical conflict through confirmatory factor analyses of survey data gathered in Florida during the presidential campaign of 1996. Our analysis shows both stability and change in the electorate. In line with prior research, a single bipolar partisan dimension underlies the mass public's evaluations of political leaders, though national figures fit more comfortably on this continuum than do those at the state level. Citizens' evaluations of key sociopolitical groups reflect orthogonal cultural disputes, class divisions, and conflicts relating to issues of social control. While all three of these dimensions impinge to some degree on voters' conceptions of party and ideology, our findings point to the leading role that cultural issues now play in shaping ideological images and identities.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Abramowitz, Alan I. (1994). Issue evolution reconsidered: Racial attitudes and partisanship in the U. S. electorate. American Journal of Political Science 38: 1–24.
Aldrich, John H. (1995). Why Parties? The Origin and Transformation of Political Parties in America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Aldrich, John H., and Richard G. Niemi (1995). The sixth American party system: Electoral change, 1952–1992. In Stephen C. Craig (ed.), Broken Contract? Changing Relationships Between Americans and Their Government, pp. 87–109. Boulder, CO: Westview.
Arbuckle, James L. (1997). Amos Users' Guide Version 3.6. Chicago: SmallWaters Corp.
Bennett, Stephen Earl (1973). Consistency among the public's social welfare policy attitudes in the 1960's. American Journal of Political Science 17: 544–570.
Black, Gordon S., and Benjamin D. Black (1994). The Politics of American Discontent. New York: Wiley.
Bolce, Louis, and Gerald De Maio (1999). Religious outlook, culture war politics, and antipathy toward Christian fundamentalists. Public Opinion Quarterly 63: 29–61.
Bruce, John M., John A. Clark, and John H. Kessel (1991). Advocacy politics in presidential parties. American Political Science Review 85: 1089–1105.
Burnham, Walter Dean (1996). Realignment lives: The 1994 earthquake and its implications. In Colin Campbell and Bert A. Rockman (eds.), The Clinton Presidency: First Appraisals, pp. 363–395. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Campbell, Angus, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller, and Donald E. Stokes (1960). The American Voter. New York: Wiley.
Carmines, Edward G., and Geoffrey C. Layman (1997). Issue evolution in postwar American politics: Old certainties and fresh tensions. In Byron E. Shafer (ed.), Present Discontents: American Politics in the Very Late Twentieth Century, pp. 89–134. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Conover, Pamela Johnston, and Stanley Feldman (1981). The origins and meaning of liberal/conservative self-identifications. American Journal of Political Science 25: 617–645.
Conover, Pamela Johnston, and Stanley Feldman (1984). How people organize the political world: A schematic model. American Journal of Political Science 28: 95–126.
Converse, Philip E. (1964). The nature of belief systems in mass publics. In David E. Apter (ed.), Ideology and Discontent, pp. 206–261. New York: The Free Press.
Converse, Philip E. (1975). Public opinion and voting behavior. In Fred I. Greenstein and Nelson W. Polsby (eds.), Handbook of Political Science, Vol. 4, Nongovernmental Politics, pp. 75–169. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
Converse, Philip E., and Gregory B. Markus (1979). Plus ça change...: The new CPS election study panel. American Political Science Review 73: 32–49.
Craig, Stephen C. (1993). The Malevolent Leaders: Popular Discontent in America. Boulder, CO: Westview.
Craig, Stephen C., and Thomas L. Hurley (1984). Political rhetoric and the structure of political opinion: Some experimental findings. Western Political Quarterly 37: 632–640.
Crespi, Irving (1988). Pre-Election Polling: Sources of Accuracy and Error. New York: Russell Sage.
Dalton, Russell J. (1996). Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Western Democracies, 2nd ed. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Easton, David (1965). A Systems Analysis of Political Life. New York: Wiley.
Feldman, Stanley (1988). Structure and consistency in public opinion: The role of core beliefs and values. American Journal of Political Science 32: 416–440.
Green, Donald Philip (1988). On the dimensionality of public sentiment toward partisan and ideological groups. American Journal of Political Science 32: 758–780.
Hadley, Charles D. (1985). Dual party identification in the south. Journal of Politics 47: 254–268.
Hibbing, John R., and Elizabeth Theiss-Morse (1995). Congress as Public Enemy: Public Attitudes Toward American Political Institutions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Hurwitz, Jon, and Mark Peffley (1987). How are foreign policy attitudes structured? A hierarchical model. American Political Science Review 81: 1099–1120.
Jacoby, William G. (1990). Variability in issue alternatives and American public opinion. Journal of Politics 52: 579–606.
Jacoby, William G. (1994). Public attitudes toward government spending. American Journal of Political Science 38: 336–361.
Jennings, M. Kent (1992). Ideological thinking among mass publics and political elites. Public Opinion Quarterly 56: 419–441.
Keeter, Scott (1997). Public opinion and the election. In Gerald M. Pomper and colleagues (eds.), The Election of 1996: Reports and Interpretations, pp. 107–133. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Knight, Kathleen (1984). The dimensionality of partisan and ideological affect: The influence of positivity. American Politics Quarterly 12: 305–334.
Kuklinski, James H., Michael D. Cobb, and Martin Gilens (1997a). Racial attitudes and the ‘new south.’” Journal of Politics 59: 323–349.
Kuklinski, James H., Paul M. Sniderman, Kathleen Knight, Thomas Piazza, Philip E. Tetlock, Gordon R. Lawrence, and Barbara Mellers (1997b). Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action. American Journal of Political Science 41: 402–419.
Lacy, Dean, and Philip Paolino (1998). Downsian voting and the separation of powers. American Journal of Political Science 42: 1180–1199.
Lavrakas, Paul J. (1987). Telephone Survey Methods: Sampling, Selection, and Supervision. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
Leland, John, and John McCormick (1996). The children of gridlock. Newsweek (July 1): 33.
Maddox, William S., and Stuart A. Lilie (1984). Beyond Liberal and Conservative: Reassessing the Political Spectrum. Washington: Cato Institute.
Maggiotto, Michael A., and Gary D. Wekken (1992). Segmented partisanship in a federal system. Midsouth Political Science Journal 13: 425–444.
Martinez, Michael D. (1990). Partisan reinforcement in context and cognition: Canadian federal partisanships, 1974–1979. American Journal of Political Science 34: 822–845.
Miller, Arthur H., Vicki L. Hesli, and William M. Reisinger (1995). Comparing citizen and elite belief systems in post-Soviet Russia and Ukraine. Public Opinion Quarterly 59: 1–40.
Miller, Arthur H., Warren E. Miller, Alden S. Raine, and Thad A. Brown (1976). A majority party in disarray: Policy polarization in the 1972 election. American Political Science Review 70: 753–778.
Miller, Arthur H., and Christopher Wlezien (1993). The social group dynamics of partisan evaluations. Electoral Politics 12: 5–22.
Miller, Arthur H., Christopher Wlezien, and Anne Hildreth (1991). A reference group theory of partisan coalitions. Journal of Politics 53: 1134–1149.
Nelson, Michael (1997). The election: Turbulence and tranquility in contemporary American politics. In Michael Nelson (ed.), The Elections of 1996, pp. 44–80. Washington: CQ Press.
Nie, Norman H., Sidney Verba, and John R. Petrocik (1976). The Changing American Voter. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Niemi, Richard G., Stephen Wright, and Lynda W. Powell (1987). Multiple party identifiers and the measurement of party identification. Journal of Politics 49: 1093–1103.
Norpoth, Helmut, and Milton Lodge (1985). The difference between attitudes and nonattitudes in the mass public: Just measurements? American Journal of Political Science 29: 291–307.
Nye, Joseph S., Jr., Philip D. Zelikow, and David C. King, eds. (1997). Why People Don't Trust Government. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Peffley, Mark A., and Jon Hurwitz (1985). A hierarchical model of attitude constraint. American Journal of Political Science 29: 871–890.
Pew Research Center (1996). Campaign '96 gets lower grades from voters. News release issued by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, November 15.
Pomper, Gerald M. (1975). Voters' Choice: Varieties of American Electoral Behavior. New York: Dodd, Mead and Company.
Raine, Alden S. (1977). Change in the Political Agenda: Social and Cultural Conflict in the American Electorate. Beverly Hills: Sage.
Rohde, David W. (1991). Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Rusk, Jerrold G., and Herbert F. Weisberg (1972). Perceptions of presidential candidates: Implications for electoral change. Midwest Journal of Political Science 16: 388–410.
Salmon, Charles T., and John Spicer Nichols (1983). The next-birthday method of respondent selection. Public Opinion Quarterly 47: 270–276.
Scher, Richard K. (1992). Politics in the New South: Republicanism, Race, and Leadership in the Twentieth Century. New York: Paragon House.
Shafer, Byron E., and William J. M. Claggett (1995). The Two Majorities: The Issue Context of Modern American Politics. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Stimson, James A. (1975). Belief systems: Constraint, complexity, and the 1972 election. American Journal of Political Science 19: 393–417.
Stone, Walter J., Ronald B. Rapaport, and Alan I. Abramowitz (1994). Party polarization: The Reagan revolution and beyond. In L. Sandy Maisel (ed.), The Parties Respond: Changes in American Parties and Campaigns, 2nd ed., pp. 69–99. Boulder, CO: Westview.
Sulfaro, Valerie A. (1996). The role of ideology and political sophistication in the structure of foreign policy attitudes. American Politics Quarterly 24: 303–337.
Tolchin, Susan (1996). The Angry American: How Voter Rage is Changing the Nation. Boulder, CO: Westview.
Wattenberg, Martin P. (1998). The Decline of American Political Parties, 1952–1996. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Weisberg, Herbert F., Audrey A. Haynes, and Jon A. Krosnick (1995). Social group polarization in 1992. In Herbert F. Weisberg (ed.), Democracy's Feast: Elections in America, pp. 241–259. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Weisberg, Herbert F., and Jerrold G. Rusk (1970). Dimensions of candidate evaluation. American Political Science Review 64: 1167–1185.
Wheaton, Blair, Bengt Muthen, Duane Alwin, and Gene F. Summers (1977). Assessing reliability and stability in panel models. In David R. Heise (ed.), Sociological Methodology 1977, pp. 84–136. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
Wilcox, Clyde, Lee Sigelman, and Elizabeth Cook (1989). Some like it hot: Individual differences in responses to group feeling thermometers. Public Opinion Quarterly 53: 246–257.
Wlezien, Christopher, and Arthur H. Miller (1997). Social groups and political judgments. Social Science Quarterly 78: 625–640.
Zaller, John R. (1992). The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zaller, John, and Stanley Feldman (1992). A simple theory of survey response: Answering questions versus revealing preferences. American Journal of Political Science 36: 579–616.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Craig, S.C., Martinez, M.D. & Kane, J.G. The Structure of Political Competition: Dimensions of Candidate and Group Evaluation Revisited. Political Behavior 21, 283–304 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023318809107
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023318809107