Skip to main content
Log in

Measurement and Other Errors in County-Level UCR Data: A Reply to Lott and Whitley

  • Published:
Journal of Quantitative Criminology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Lott and Whitley note that our analyses of the errors in the county-level UCR data used in More Guns, Less Crime (J. R. Lott, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1998, 2000) ignore the fact that all data have measurement error, that the largest errors were in counties with low populations, and that population-weighted regressions were used. We agree that this mitigates some of the effects of the errors, but does not take them fully into account. We also note that this is but one of the problems associated with the analysis. We therefore find no reason to alter our original conclusion, that in their current condition, county-level UCR crime statistics cannot be used for evaluating the effects of changes in policy.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  • Ayres, I. and Donohue, J. (2003). Shooting Down the More Guns, Less Crime Hypothesis, Stanford Law Review, forthcoming.

  • Barnett, A. (1981a). Further standards of accountability for deterrence research. In Fox, J. A. (ed.), Methods in Quantitative Criminology, Academic Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barnett, A. (1981b). The deterrent effect of capital punishment: a test of some recent studies. Operations Research 29: 346–370.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, D., and Nagin, D. (1998). Do “Right-to-Carry” laws deter violent crime? J. Legal Studies 27: 209–219.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blumstein, A., and Wallman, J. (2000). The Crime Drop in America, Cambridge University Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dugan, L. (2002). Identifying unit-dependency and time specificity in longitudinal analysis: a graphical methodology. J. Quant. Criminol. 18: 213–237.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs, J. (2002). Can Gun Control Work? Oxford University Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Little, R. J. A., and Rubin, D. B. (1987). Statistical Analysis of Missing Data, John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lott, J. R., Jr. (1998). More Guns, Less Crime, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lott, J. R., Jr. (2000). More Guns, Less Crime (2nd Ed.). University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lott, J. R., Jr., and Whitley, J. (2003). Measurement error in county-level data. J. Quant. Criminol. 19: 185–198.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lundsgaarde, H. P. (1977). Murder in Space City: A Cultural Analysis of Houston Homicide Patterns, Oxford University Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maltz, M. D. (1994). Operations research in studying crime and justice: its history and accomplishments. In Pollock, S. M., Barnett, A., and Rothkopf, M. H. (eds.), Operations Research and the Public Sector (Vol. 6, Chap. 7), Amsterdam, Elsevier North-Holland, pp. 201–262.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maltz, M. D. (1996). From Poisson to the present: applying operations research to problems of crime and justice. J. Quant. Criminol. 12: 3–61.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maltz, M. D. (1998). Which homicides decreased? Why? J. Crim. Law Criminol. 88: 1479–1486.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maltz, M. D. (1999). Bridging Gaps in Police Crime Data. Report No. NCJ-1176365, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Office of Justice Programs, U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC, September, 1999. http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/pdf/bgpcd.pdf.

  • Maltz, M. D., and Targonski, J. (2002). A note on the use of county-level crime data. J. Quant. Criminol. 18: 297–318.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marvell, T. (2000). Dates of SI laws, cont. E-mail sent on 10 December, 2000.

  • Rubin, D. B. (1987). Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys, John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vernick, J. S., and Hepburn, L. M. (2003). State and federal gun laws: trends for 1970–99. In Ludwig, J. and Cook, P. J. (eds.), Evaluating Gun Policy, Brookings Institution Press, Washington, DC, pp. 345–402.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Maltz, M.D., Targonski, J. Measurement and Other Errors in County-Level UCR Data: A Reply to Lott and Whitley. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 19, 199–206 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023006321454

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023006321454

Navigation