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Potential impact of climate warming on the distribution of the Golden-striped salamander, Chioglossa lusitanica, on the Iberian Peninsula

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Abstract

The increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is expected to impact the world's climate on a time-scale of just decades. We simulated the potential impact of climate warming on the range of the Iberian endemic Golden-striped salamander, Chioglossa lusitanica, by extrapolating present-day GIS-based distribution models. The results indicated a significant decrease in the distribution of the species for 2050 and 2080, with losses ranging from 19 to 35% in Portugal and from 17 to 22% in Spain. The models also predict the fragmentation of the species range, in a pattern mirroring past distributions inferred from the spatial analysis of genetic data.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Campus Agrário de Vairão, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos (CIBIO/UP), 4485-661, Vairão, Portugal

    J. Teixeira & J.W. Arntzen

  2. Departamento de Zoologia e Antropologia, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade do Porto, Praça Gomes Teixeira, 4099-002, Porto, Portugal

    J. Teixeira

  3. National Museum of Natural History, P.O. Box 9517, 2300 RA, Leiden, The Netherlands

    J.W. Arntzen

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  1. J. Teixeira
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Teixeira, J., Arntzen, J. Potential impact of climate warming on the distribution of the Golden-striped salamander, Chioglossa lusitanica, on the Iberian Peninsula. Biodiversity and Conservation 11, 2167–2176 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021342611769

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