Abstract
Changes in population size and structure depend not only on the internal dynamics of populations, but also on environmental coupling, human exploitation, and interaction with other species. Some of these factors are cyclic and predictable, while others are random. In some cases the effect of interactions is to destabilise the system and produce catastrophic changes, which are manifested as discontinuities. This paper reviews several models of marine populations which generate long‐term population changes, typically much longer than the generation time of the species involved. The output of these models is realistic and agrees with existing data, but in the absence of adequate time series it is not always possible to test or validate such models in a rigorous statistical sense. The paper concludes with a discussion of the role of such models in our understanding of long‐term changes in marine populations, and the practical implications of not always being able either to validate or falsify models needed for effective decisionmaking.
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Silvert, W. The role of interactions in long‐term population cycles. Environmental Modeling & Assessment 2, 49–54 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019076319943
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019076319943