Skip to main content
Log in

Shareholder wealth effects of legislative events: The case of airline deregulation

  • Published:
Public Choice Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper presents empirical evidence about the impact on shareholder wealth of legislative events leading to the enactment of the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978. In contrast to prior regulatory event studies, this paper examines not only the final legislative enactment but also the Congressional hearings that preceded it. No significant effect on shareholder wealth is indicated when averaged across all airline firms and all legislative events. Impact of deregulation, however, was expected to be different for trunk airlines than for local airlines. Moreover, market expectations likely changed with the change in the political climate during the course of deregulation deliberations, from an industry financial health emphasis under a Republican (Ford) administration to a consumer welfare emphasis under a Democratic (Carter) administration. We find that trunk airlines experienced significant positive abnormal returns during the Ford administration, but negative abnormal returns during the Carter administration. In contrast, local airlines exhibited significant negative abnormal returns during both the Ford and Carter eras. Systematic risk of both trunk and local airlines also increased with the change in the political climate.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Brown, S.J. and Warner, J.B. (1985). Using daily stock return: The case of event study. Journal of Financial Economics 14: 1-31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brennan, M.J. and Copeland, T.E. (1988). Beta changes around stock splits: A note. Journal of Finance 43: 1009-1014.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen, A.H. and Sanger, G.C. (1985). An analysis of the impact of regulatory change: The case of natural gas deregulation. The Financial Review 20: 36-54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Collins, D. and Dent, W.T. (1984). A comparison of alternative testing methodologies used in capital market research. Journal of Accounting Research 22: 48-84.

    Google Scholar 

  • Commodity Year Book 1980. New York: Commodity Research Bureau, Inc.

  • Congressional Information Service(1974-1978). Annual index to congressional publications and public laws. Washington, DC: Congressional Information Service, Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Congressional Information Service(1974-1978). Annual abstracts of congressional publications. Washington, DC: Congressional Information Service, Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Congressional Quarterly Weekly Report(1976). Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly, Inc., (10 July): 1789.

  • Davison, W.N., Worrell, D.L. and Garrison, S.H. (1988). Effects of strike activity on firm value. Academy of Management Journal 31: 387-394.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dennis, D.K. and McConnell, J.J. (1986). Corporate mergers and security returns. Journal of Financial Economics 16: 143-187.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dubin, J.A. and Navarro, P. (1982). Regulatory climate and cost of capital. In M. Crew (Ed.), Regulatory reform and public utilities. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilligan, T., Marshall, W. and Weingast, B. (1989). Regulation and the theory of legislative choice: The Interstate Commerce Act of 1887. Journal of Law and Economics 32: 35-61.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes, J.S., Magat, W.A. and Ricks, W.E. (1986). The economic consequences of the OSHA cotton dust standards: An analysis of stock price behavior. Journal of Law and Economics 29: 29-59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ibbotson, R.G. (1975). Price performance of common stick new issues. Journal of Financial Economics 2: 235-272.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Madeo, S. and Pincus, M. (1985). Stock market behavior and tax rule changes: The case of the disallowance of certain interest deductions claimed by banks. The Accounting Review 60: 407-429.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maloney, M.T. and McCormick, R.E. (1982). A positive theory of environmental quality regulation. Journal of Law and Economics 25: 99-123.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marcus, A. and Goodman, R. (1986). Airline deregulation: Factors affecting the choice of firm's political strategy. Policy Studies Journal 15: 231-246.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michel, A. and Shaked, I. (1984). Airline performance under deregulation: The shareholders' perspective. Financial Management 13: 5-14.

    Google Scholar 

  • Olson, C.V. and Trapani, J.M. (1981).Who has benefited fromregulation of the airline industry. Journal of Law and Economics 24: 75-93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Peltzman, S. (1976). Toward a more general theory of regulation. Journal of Law and Economics 14: 211-248.

    Google Scholar 

  • Praeger, R.A. (1989). Using stock price data to measure the effects of regulation: The Interstate Commerce Act and the railroad industry. RAND Journal of Economics 20: 280-290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rose, N. (1985). The incidence of regulatory rents in the motor carrier industry. RAND Journal of Economics 16: 299-318.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schipper, K. and Thompson, R. (1983). The impact of merger-related regulations on the shareholders of acquiring firms. Journal of Accounting Research 21: 184-221.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schipper, K., Thompson, R. and Weil, T. (1987).Disentangling interrelated effects of regulatory changes on shareholder wealth: The case of motor carrier deregulation. Journal of Law and Economics 30: 67-100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schwert, G.W. (1981). Using financial data to measure effects of regulation. Journal of Law and Economics 24: 121-158.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sherman, R. (1989). The regulation of monopoly. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Spiller, P.T. (1983).The differential impact of airline regulation on individual firms and markets: An empirical analysis. Journal of Law and Economics 26: 655-689.

    Google Scholar 

  • Spiller, P.T. (1986). Mobility barriers in the U.S. airline industry, working paper, Stanford University.

  • Stigler, G.J. (1971). The theory of economic regulation. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 3: 3-21.

    Google Scholar 

  • The Wall Street Journal (1974). Pan Am sees cash shortage possible soon unless CAB grants mail subsidy (26 August): 2.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1974). Pan Am on solo (19 September): 18.

  • TheWall Street Journal (1974). Plan to aid Pan Am. U.S. says: May save $150 million in 1975. (2 October): 12.

  • TheWall Street Journal (1975). Legislative push to slash CAB's powers over airlines is expected from Ford (5 February): 18.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1975). Fewer but stronger airlines, railroads is goal of New Transportation Secretary (9 April): 2.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1975). CAB to support airline financial health and limit deregulation, chairman says (31 October): 17.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1976). More responsive attitude on airline profits is seen in CAB's approval of 2% fare increase (12 August): 31.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1976). Friendly skies of airline profits seen darkened by anticipated changes in regulatory policy (19 November): 47.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1977). Carter wants airline deregulation law by summer, citing need for competition (7 March): 8.

  • The Wall Street Journal (1977). Major split develops among airlines to Congress set deregulation hearings (17 March): 4.

  • United States Civil Aeronautics Board (October 1978). Comparative financial review: Trunk carriers and local carriers. Washington, DC: Civil Aeronautics Board. Third Edition.

  • Yen, G. (1987). Merger proposals, managerial discretion, and magnitude of shareholders' wealth gains. Journal of Economics and Business 39: 251-266.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zellner, A. (1962). An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias. Journal of American Statistical Association 57: 348-368.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Banker, R.D., Das, S. & Ou, C.S. Shareholder wealth effects of legislative events: The case of airline deregulation. Public Choice 91, 301–331 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1017958205632

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1017958205632

Keywords

Navigation