Solar Proton Events and Fluctuations in the Density of Electrons Trapped Within the Earth's Magnetosphere

Abstract

We present evidence for a correlation between solar proton events and fluctuations in the density of electrons trapped inside the Earth's magnetosphere. We examine 60 solar proton events and 53 solar proton enhancements, which took place between August 1989 and February 1999 (during solar cycles 22 and 23). It is found that 90% of the solar proton events and 85% of the solar proton enhancements are associated with fluctuations in the trapped electron density of the Earth's magnetosphere. Fifty percent of proton events occurred in complex regions. Ninety-six percent of the remaining events that occurred in simple solar active regions are associated with fluctuations of the electron density. We also examined 63 solar active regions with complex magnetic field configurations, which did not produce proton events. It is found that 57% of them were not associated with fluctuations in the trapped electron density during the period when their delta configurations existed on the solar disk. A total of 93 complex solar active regions occurred on the solar disk and 60% are associated with fluctuations of electron density. In this preliminary paper, we demonstrate the potential of invoking the correlation to improve the reliability of short-term predictions for proton events.