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Environmental Monitoring and Assessment

, Volume 61, Issue 1, pp 133–144 | Cite as

Adaptation Scenarios of Agriculture in Poland to Future Climate Changes

  • T. Stuczyiński
  • G. Demidowicz
  • T. Deputat
  • T. Górski
  • S. Krasowicz
  • J. Kuś
Article

Abstract

This paper demonstrates the ability of Polish agriculture to adapt to predicted climate change according to GISS and GFDL scenarios. Both climate-change scenarios will significantly affect farming conditions in Poland through water deficit, shifts in planting and harvesting seasons, changes in crop yields and crop structure. Neither scenario seems to endanger the self-sufficiency of Poland as long as preventative measures are taken. Moreover, the realization of GISS creates the possibility of a surplus in production. It must be emphasized that regardless of the scenario, the adaptation of agriculture to an expected climate change cannot be handled by the farming community itself.

adaptation scenarios climate change agriculture Poland 

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Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2000

Authors and Affiliations

  • T. Stuczyiński
    • 1
  • G. Demidowicz
    • 1
  • T. Deputat
    • 1
  • T. Górski
    • 1
  • S. Krasowicz
    • 1
  • J. Kuś
    • 1
  1. 1.Institute of Soil Science and Plant CultivationPulawyPoland

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