Abstract
Although the increased mobilization of aluminum from soils to surface waters is widely recognized as one of the most important ecological effects of acidic deposition, lumped-parameter mathematical models of acidification response typically overestimate the change in Al concentration under changing deposition by a considerable margin. The assumption of equilibrium with gibbsite (Al(OH)3) in the MAGIC model and other models of acid-base chemistry is shown to be inconsistent with measured values for a large variety of lake and stream databases. A modified algorithm for predicting Al concentration, based on empirical relationships evident in field data, provided superior estimates of changes in Al concentration in three long-term monitoring data sets and under experimental conditions at two experimental watershed manipulation sites.
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Sullivan, T.J., Cosby, B.J. Modeling the Concentration of Aluminum in Surface Waters. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution 105, 643–659 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1004957426629
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1004957426629