Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

, Volume 17, Issue 3, pp 243–277 | Cite as

An Analysis of the Distribution of Combinations Chosen by UK National Lottery Players

  • JONATHAN SIMON
Article

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the behaviour of lottery players when they get to choose their own numbers. Most lotto players do not pick combinations at random, but prefer more idiosyncratic techniques when they fill in the play grid. This is highlighted when the actual distribution of combinations for a single draw in the UK National Lottery is examined. A new model of gambler choice is developed and specified, and the resulting distribution of combinations fitted to the empirical data. Various implications of the model are discussed, such as the expected value of lotto tickets for different types of player.

Lotto lottery 

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Copyright information

© 1999 Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

Authors and Affiliations

  • JONATHAN SIMON
    • 1
  1. 1.London EconomicsLondon

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